Tucker Davidson - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 ATL LHP 9 45

Grades Update: Dec 2020
OFP Role FB CB SL Cnt/Cmd
45 40 55 45 50 50/40

Dec 2020 Report

Evaluator: Jake Boes

Age: 25 yr
Height: 6-2
Weight: 215 lbs
Hits/Throws: L/L
Acquired: 2019 Draft, Round 19
RuleV: On 40-Man Roster

Physical Description: Fairly average frame with no projection remaining; sloped shoulders with long arms. Wide hips with thick, muscular thighs and legs; NBA-sized feet. Shows athleticism on the mound; has a prep background in football. May have lost around 20 lbs recently--seems true to 215 list currently. Frame similar to former MLB pitcher Jorge De La Rosa.

Delivery & Mechanics: High 3/4 slot bordering over-the-top with high effort; stretch exclusively with a high leg kick and strong lower half engagement. Leg kick and extension yield moderate deception. Nearly crossfires delivery; settles back foot on the edge of the first base side of the rubber. Hitter gets a look at the ball on reachback, but the arm is quick enough to prevent pitch tipping. Hard fall to the third base side. Delivery is mildly violent.

Fastball: 91-93 t94 with cutting action running in on opposite-sided hitters. Induces weak contact when located; can be tough to barrel when it's thrown on the corners. Heavy usage that will get thrown in any count; high trust and conviction with the offering. Pitch plays best in the upper third of the zone. Loses life at the bottom of the plate. Grade: 55

Curveball: 75-77 with 12/6 break; slow breaker with average spin. Used almost exclusively to same-sided batters. Will freeze hitters with big break; slows the arm on occasion. Casts the pitch at times, giving proper rotation without desired bite. Overall, a fringy offering with little projection remaining Grade: 45

Slider: 86-88 with average, slurvy action; flashes plus but sits average with late bite. Predictable locations; gets too much plate at times. Under-utilized pitch especially when ahead. Could be used as a chase more. Grade: 50

Control and Command: Average control with below average command; fills the zone and will live and die with the fastball; highly predictable sequencing and locations may hinder his ability to skate by shortcomings with location. Well-repeated delivery has helped limit free passes. Control: 50 | Command: 40

Overall: Davidson's high fastball usage and the lack of trust with his curveball present significant reliever risk to the profile. His firm fastball from the left side is encouraging, but the relentless use with the pitch may prevent him from making it through an order multiple times. There is a possibility for a backend starter long-term, but I don't see enough to warrant that as a likely outcome. Most likely, Davidson is a middle relief arm or long man out of the pen on a competitive club long-term, where his fastball/slider combination may play up.

OFP: 45
Role: 40 - Spot Starter or Low Leverage Reliever
Risk: Moderate


William Contreras - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 ATL C 8 45

Grades Update: Dec 2020
OFP Role Hit Power Field Arm Run
45 40 45 45 50 55 40

Dec 2020 Report

Evaluator: Jake Boes

Age: 23 yr
Height: 6-0
Weight: 180 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2015 IFA
RuleV: On 40-Man Roster

Physical Description: Medium, stocky build; squared shoulders, average strength throughout the arms and torso. High waist with thick, strong thighs and calves. Near physical projection currently with minimal room to fill out in the chest and waist. Pliable behind the plate; creative setups and crouches. Likely 10-20 lbs above 180 list. Brother of current MLB catcher Willson Contreras.

Hit: A once-open stance is recently more square with a slightly coiled upper half; hands are quiet and high above the ear--sitting away from the body. Small bend at the knee with feet slightly outside of shoulder-width. Hands reach back for power position into load; upper half further coils and lower half closes into strong leg kick; front foot lands open; heavy weight transfer to the front side through swing. Average bat speed generated from frame and hands; swing tends to get lengthy at times. Approach is damage-oriented; looking for a pitch to drive in the air regardless of count; strike zone awareness coupled with a bat path that maximizes time in the zone helps limit strikeout totals, but will swing over low spin when behind. Overall, a fringe hit tool with limited projection left. Grade: 45

Power: Below average power that is padded by gap and warning track drives all over the diamond. Consistently swinging for extra bases; length of the swing hinders the quality of contact at times; shows raw power to all fields that translates in-game, but over-the-fence power can be more fleeting at times considering the approach. Grade: 45

Field: An average defender behind the plate with strong receiving skills; works well with pitchers and shows game-calling ability. Quiet glove yields deft framing abilities. Reports of lack of concentration appear to be cleaned up; room for improvement with blocking. Smooth behind the plate but lacks twitch with movements; makes expected plays. Grade: 50

Arm: Above-average arm; pop times in the 1.95-2.03 range; good accuracy to the bag but will bounce throws on occasion; arm path tends to get long. Shows resilience to get the ball out; transfers are inconsistent; ball pops out of the glove on occasion. May continue to progress with continued pro instruction. Grade: 55

Run: Flashes average home-to-first times 4.2-4.3; likely to settle in at below average being behind the plate and as the frame reaches projection. Better runner than the average catcher; won't be a base-clogger, but also not going to be a base-stealing threat. Home-to-first times might give fringy times long-term, but lack of base-stealing and taking extra bases will hinder the overall grade. Grade: 40

Overall: Contreras has the makeup and body for a catcher--while he lacks a loud, carrying tool some of the backup catcher profiles possess, the summation of his tools make an everyday future more likely than some others. Because of the limited defensive ceiling, there is pressure on his hit tool to realize his true role potential. A platoon or bench role is most likely with an everyday future well within the realm of possibility.

OFP: 45
Role: 40 - Below-Average Player: Back-Up Catcher
Risk: Moderate


Kyle Muller - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 ATL LHP 7 50

Grades Update: Dec 2020
OFP Role FB CB CH Cnt/Cmd
50 50 60 50 50 45/40

Dec 2020 Report

Evaluator: James Chipman

Age: 23 yr
Height: 6-7
Weight: 250 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/L
Acquired: 2016 Draft, Round 2
RuleV: On 40-Man Roster

Physical Description: Large imposing 6'7", 250+ pound frame. Broad shoulders with mild slope; long levers; average core with a soft middle. High waist; strong legs and a thick lower half -- a sturdy workhorse frame capable of eating innings. Limited physical projection remaining with minimal strength gains to be had.

Delivery & Mechanics: Semi-windup. High 3/4 arm slot with above-average arm speed and moderate to max effort in the delivery since refinement. Long arm path that starts below the belt on windup. Moderate deception from delivery, hand break and leg kick. Utilizes tall frame, long levers and high arm slot to generate steep downward plane. Has made great strides mechanically considering his size, but often struggles to repeat; arm slot occasionally wanders and hard falls often pull him offline.

Fastball: Sits 93-95 occasionally scraping as high as 96. Firm heavy offering with just modest run. Works it to all quadrants of zone; misses predominately glove-side. Holds velocity deep into outings and maintains velocity from the stretch. Fringe-average command. Extension and downhill plane pad the percieved velocity and overall quality. Grade: 60

Curveball: Sits 76-81 with tight 1/7 action and sharp late break at its best. Has inconsistent shape and feel; shows less optimal slurvy depth at times that lacks bite. Primarily a chase pitch out of the strike zone against LHB. Overall an inconsistent but solid offering with average potential. Grade: 50

Changeup: Has feel; tunnels it well and maintains arm speed. Quality velocity separation from FB; sits around 83-85 with fade and solid tumble. Heavy usage, comfortable throwing the offering in any count to both right and left-handed batters. Elicits both swing and miss and weak contact; will occasionally hang. Flashes above-average and sits fringy; likely settles in-between. Grade: 50

Control and Command: Muller's size, long levers and limited athleticism effect his ability to repeat; subsequently limiting his command profile upside. Pitch counts can run up and he's prone to the occasional wild spell. That being said, he lives around the zone and relies on quality of stuff and pitchabilty over precise location. His advanced feel and ability to sequence help mitigate some of the mechanical issues, but Muller will likely always be a stuff over command type. Control: 45 | Command: 40

Overall: A well rounded arsenal of potential average or better offerings and pitchabilty give Muller solid back of the rotation potential. The lack of a true put-away secondary offering and less than optimal command bake added risk into the profile. His handedness and ability to reach the upper 90s could yield a solid high leverage reliever safety net backup plan.

OFP: 50
Role: 50 - #4 or #5 SP
Risk: Moderate


Jared Shuster - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 ATL LHP 6 50

Grades Update: Dec 2020
OFP Role FB SL CH Cnt/Cmd
50 50 55 50 60 50/45

Dec 2020 Report

Evaluator: Jake Boes

Age: 22 yr
Height: 6-3
Weight: 210 lbs
Hits/Throws: L/L
Acquired: 2020 Draft, Round 1
RuleV: 2024

Physical Description: Prototypical starter's frame: tall, long, and strong with broad shoulders; long arms with a high waist and a slender, yet sturdy base. Same physical proportions as Andy Pettite. Prep background in basketball; good athlete on the mound.

Delivery & Mechanics: Fires from a high 3/4 arm slot with moderate effort; quick wind-up with a well-repeated delivery. Deceptive motion; lots of moving parts, hides the ball well and generates impressive extension. Head stays quiet through motion; ball leaves the hand exceptionally well. Shows poise and mound presence.

Fastball: 91-94 t96 flashing nasty, late armside run. Pounds the outside corner against opposite-sided hitters. Riding life when thrown up in the zone; controls the pitch well with command gains still possible. Overall, an above-average offering with plus potential long-term. Grade: 55

Slider: 81-85 with traditional slider bite; flashes plus. Shows the ability to throw for strikes; command is inconsistent beneath the zone. An average offering with minimal gains necessary to reach its projection. Grade: 50

Changeup: Legitimate plus offering showing fade and break at 80-84; generates swings and misses from both sides of the plate; shows feel and conviction. Same velocity band as the SL is less than ideal, but different plane, usage, and movement help mitigate the risk of the hitter timing it. Grade: 60

Control and Command: Average control and fringy command - there is projection with the profile; big gap between what is and what could be. Well-repeated delivery and advanced sequencing could help command with continued pro instruction. Control: 50 | Command: 45

Overall: While many felt Shuster's position in the draft was a bit generous by Atlanta, his recent bump in velocity and advanced pitchability make him intriguing as a starting pitcher. His work ethic should help him rise through the minors quickly and makes a backend starter role a realistic route long-term.

OFP: 50
Role: 50 - #4 or #5 SP
Risk: High


Braden Shewmake - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 ATL SS/2B 5 50

Grades Update: Dec 2020
OFP Role Hit Power Field Arm Run
50 50 55 50 50 50 50

Dec 2020 Report

Evaluator: Mike Kinsela

Age: 23 yr
Height: 6-4
Weight: 190 lbs
Hits/Throws: L/R
Acquired: 2019 Draft, Round 1
RuleV: 2022

Physical Description: Shewmake is a long-limbed, leanly-built middle infielder with an athletic look and some projection remaining, though he is more narrowly-built through his waist and shoulders.

Hit: Shewmake performed loudly right out of the gate in 2019, mashing through High-A en route to a promotion to AA to finish out the season. There's always been excellent feel for the barrel in his left-handed stroke, loose and whippy with plate coverage and bat speed, and he's got the ability to find barrels consistently to all fields. Grade: 55

Power: Shewmake is more leanly-built but does have somewhat surprising strength in his hands and swing, with above-average raw power pull-side at present and in the solid-average range everywhere else. He generates lots of leverage and the swing is lofted, and given his propensity to find barrels and burgeoning strength, it's certainly within reason to project him out to solid-average game power long-term. Grade: 50

Field: A shortstop by trade, Shewmake is definitely longer-bodied than most middle infielders, and his above-average athleticism and instincts allow for his more limited defensive actions to be playable. He's got a chance to stick at shortstop long term, though most evaluators see him as more of an offensive-minded second baseman or super utility defender who can add at least some value defensively. Grade: 50

Arm: Another solid yet unspectacular tool in Shewmake's arsenal, his arm strength grades out as solid average and is seen as good enough to allow him to play shortstop, aided by his instinctual timer and quick release, though it's not a weapon that will bail him out on tough plays. The arm should be enough to allow him to see time elsewhere if needed, pretty much anywhere on the diamond. Grade: 50

Run: An average runner for the most part, Shewmake consistently clocked times around 4.15-4.20 seconds down the line in his draft year at Texas A&M and holds in that range presently, with some above-average times sprinkled in. Grade: 50

Overall: Hit-tool first performer with defensive versatility and well-regarded makeup along with some power projection make Shewmake a solid bet to be an everyday player, though he may not have an everyday defensive home. Solid enough at shortstop with the ability to move around and the athleticism/baseball IQ to bring value in several spots.

OFP: 50
Role: 50 - Average Everyday Regular
Risk: Moderate


Shea Langeliers - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 ATL C 4 50

Grades Update: Dec 2020
OFP Role Hit Power Field Arm Run
50 50 45 50 60 70 30

Dec 2020 Report

Evaluator: James Chipman

Age: 23 yr
Height: 6-0
Weight: 205 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2019 Round 1
RuleV: 2022

Physical Description: Short, stocky; compact frame; big strong body. Broad shoulders; low waist; evident core strength; thick and strong lower half. Noticeable upper body strength and big strong forearms. Surprising athleticism; quick and agile behind the plate. Modest physical projection remains for additional good weight. Impressive leadership and work ethic. Injury history includes broken hamate in left hand in 2019.

Hit: Lots of tinkering with mechanics since draft day. At Baylor, Langeliers had a square stance with his hands set deep off his back shoulder; a high back elbow with a slight crouch and wide base. He has since moved to an open stance with his hands at the letters, away from his body. The body remains upright, but there's more of a crouch with a more optimal load. His hands are quick through the zone; with a modest toe tap trigger and short fluid stroke. Strong hands generate above-average bat speed. Average pitch recognition and bat-to-ball; lack of discipline yields below-average strikeout and walk rates. Hunts fastballs, limited production against above-average or better off-speed. Presently a well below-average tool with fringy potential; the development of the bat will ultimately influence his big league role. Grade: 45

Power: Impressive above-average raw in BP; should play solid average in-game as the hit tool matures. Aggressive damage oriented approach; uses the entire field with over-the-fence pop predominantly to the pull side. Has enough strength and lift in his swing to carry to the deep alleys. Extra-base hits will pad the power production and value of the tool. Grade: 50

Field: Fundamentally sound and rather polished. Athletic and nimble behind the plate. Low crouch. Broad shoulders and size present a big quiet target. Receiving skills continue to improve; frames well; softer and more stable with the glove; no longer stabs and drifts; hands and wrists are strong. Handles balls in play and plays at plate exceptionally well. Athleticism and footwork yield solid blocking skills. Demonstrates impressive leadership and grit. Near above-average presently, with enough flashes of plus for me to believe it settles there long term. Grade: 60

Arm: Impact tool. Occasional elite pop times; consistently sits double-plus around 1.84 - 1.90 seconds with sound footwork and fast transfers. Shuts down the running game. Strong lasers that hover off the ground with impressive accuracy. Snap throws behind aggressive runners are a regular occurrence, keeping the opposition grounded. Grade: 70

Run: Average runner for his position with present below-average speed. Will lose some speed as rigors of catching take a toll on his body. May annually swipe a base or two; should be able to help on the base paths, occasionally scoring from second or stretching singles into doubles. Heads-up player whose instincts and hustle will prevent him from being a clogger. Grade: 30

Overall: Impressive blend of physicality, acumen and fundamentals. The hit tool is raw and its development will be necessary to reach a first division ceiling. Regardless, there's enough defensive prowess to play the strong side of a platoon role behind the dish or net the everyday role for a second division team.

OFP: 50
Role: 50 - Average Everyday Regular
Risk: Moderate


Ian Anderson - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 ATL RHP 3 55

Grades Update: Dec 2020
OFP Role FB CB CH Cnt/Cmd
55 60 50 50 60 55/50

Dec 2020 Report

Evaluator: Barry Lincoln

Age: 23 yr
Height: 6-3
Weight: 170 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2016 Draft, Round 1
RuleV: On 40-Man Roster

Physical Description: At an athletic 6'3" 170, Anderson fits the stereotypical "ideal" build for a starting pitcher. With a lanky and flexible overall look, Anderson is able to tap into his natural athleticism to create elite extension and arm action.

Delivery & Mechanics: Utilizes both windup and stretch. Stays balanced into gather of medium height, using his plus athleticism and flexibility to generate an elite extension of over seven feet. Solid hip hinge contributes to further power. Over the top arm action counters his elite extension in creating elite vertical approach angle. Maximizes use of the force he creates.

Fastball: Averages 94mph with a spin rate of 2063 rpm. Despite the elite extension, the over the top arm action and low spin make it play well in the lower part of the zone. Generates a lot of soft contact; used as a setup pitch for his changeup and curve (the out pitches). Spots the pitch well, but cannot afford to leave it up in the zone or it will get hit. Grade: 50

Curveball: Slow and low spin with subpar movement traits. Despite this, the greater change of pace actually benefits the pitch, throwing off timing due to its success in tunneling. Anderson has plus command on this option, and could get more bend if he fixes his efficiency (currently only 41%). While it has many shortcomings, Anderson has managed to generate whiffs on 40.5% of curveballs -- until it is figured out there may be no need to change anything (BABIP is worrisome, .385). Grade: 50

Changeup: Average velocity of 87.4 with spin rate of 1762. Does not pronate wrist on the pitch, and lines up seams similar to a four seam. While movement traits aren't special, Anderson's change looks like a fastball to hitters, generating 39.8% whiff and .172 BABIP due to his plus command and how it looks like a fastball coming in to a hitter. If the command were to ever go, the change would be subpar. Grade: 60

Control and Command: Since Anderson is a guy that does not possess a putaway fastball, or an offspeed with crazy movement, he needs to be able to put the ball in and around the zone. His overall control on all three pitches is near above-average with the fastball primarily being a setup pitch for his two off-speed. Anderson cannot get away with missing on a fastball very often. Thus, with that being his primary offering, the need to spot it is a must. He does a very good job of accomplishing this, and with the mastery of his changeup, Anderson has a very good one two punch of pitches that he can reliably spot. When he loses his command, he loses ball games -- his success is contingent upon his ability to spot up. Control: 55 | Command: 50

Overall: While Anderson's ideal build, and highly flexible/athletic profile are a major plus, the high arm-slot, lack of spin on his pitches, and average velocity has meant that he needs to take a different type of approach -- Anderson has accomplished this via the mastery of a changeup that fools hitters based on spin and velocity change. While the curveball is a solid option for the same reason, the changeup has been his bread and butter (.172 BABIP on CH, .385 on curve). His ability to spot the changeup at will, while sequencing well has led to a lot of success already in his young career; the further mastering of his pitches should lead to long term success.

OFP: 55
Role: 60 - #3 SP
Risk: Moderate


Drew Waters - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 ATL OF 2 55

Grades Update: Dec 2020
OFP Role Hit Power Field Arm Run
55 60 50 55 50 60 60

Dec 2020 Report

Evaluator: Geoff Pontes

Age: 22 yr
Height: 6-2
Weight: 185 lbs
Hits/Throws: S/R
Acquired: 2017 Draft, Round 2
RuleV: 2021

Physical Description: A tall, lean, athletic build. Not terribly broad, which leads to some questions around how much projection remains. Wiry strength, with good muscle, high waisted, with little concerns over long term maintenance.

Hit: Switch-hitter that's an obvious natural left handed hitter. Struggles to replicate contact and power against left handed pitching on the right hand side of the plate. He setups, slightly open on the left side, and gets excellent extension on balls on the outer-half but is still able to stay compact on the outer part of the plate. Hands set by ear flap, utilizes leg lift timing mechanism. The swing from both sides can best be described as "handsy" as he does not do a great job of generating power from his lower half. This is offset by his ability to sync up and stay balanced to the ball with a heavily angular swing. This allows him to cut down on the swing and miss versus righthanders and generate hard airborne contact with regularity. As a right handed hitter Waters profile is reversed despite a similar setup. It's a contact over power profile, but he still manages to make inconsistent contact versus lefthanders. He's susceptible to whiffing on breaking balls and offspeed in general. However, it's accentuated from the right side where he can best be described as relentlessly pestered. It's a plus hit tool from the left side, but a poor profile from the right. The fact that he's strong side platoon heavy softens the blow to his overall hit grade. Grade: 50

Power: Without getting further in the weeds comparing and contrasting Waters' righty and lefty swings suffice it to say the power plays similarly to his contact. Of his 113 extra base hits since the start of 2018, only 21 are against left handed pitching. The good news there is Waters has averaged 56-57 extra base hits a season. They've mostly come in the form of doubles and triples, but it's reasonable to anticipate some of those turn to home runs as he ages. His elite bat speed and god given hands, allow him to hit for above average power in game despite his lack of leverage in his swing. Excellent extension at the point of contact and an uncanny ability to drive the ball versus right handed pitching. Analytically his 2019 metrics back up an above average grade with his max exit velocity topping 112 mph and an average EV of 89.5 mph. As Waters adds strength and his approach matures he should provide split heavy power production annually. Grade: 55

Field: Has seen time at all three outfield positions. Has the plus makeup speed needed for centerfield but not the natural instincts. In another organization that doesn't have Cristian Pache, Waters likely sees all of his time in center. He played predominantly left field in 2019, but looks capable of handling right. His arm plays in either spot but it's just league average defense, which is valuable with an above average offensive profile like Waters. Grade: 50

Arm: Clocked at 95 mph from the outfield prior to his draft year and Waters has not lost any strength in his arm since. Less accurate than the double plus arms we'll grade this year, but his arm strength and quick trigger allow it to play as plus. More than enough arm for any position in the outfield. Grade: 60

Run: A plus runner who's speed plays in game, as mentioned in his fielding tool description Waters speed allows his inconsistent reads to go somewhat shielded due to his makeup speed. It's the same at the plate and in the bases. He consistently clocks plus home to first from each side of the plate, and steals bases at a high rate (78% success since 2018). Plus speed that plays in all facets of Waters game. Grade: 60

Overall: Waters destroys right handed pitching to the point he's an easy 60 hit/power from that side long term. For example at his two longest tenured stops in pro-ball (2018 A & 2019 double-A), Waters slashed .325/.381/.578 against righthanders in 2018 with Rome, and followed it up by slashing .334/.384/.512 with Mississippi in 2019. I have every confidence that Waters could come up to the bigs and be productive against right handed pitching while providing value in the field and on the bases. This is enough to carve him out a starting role, but there's still some chance a team limits his exposure versus left handed pitching. Likely enough value across the board for Waters to have some all-star level seasons, especially if he can raise his hitting versus left handed pitching to a below average (40) level.

OFP: 55
Role: 60 - Above-Average Regular - Occasional All-Star
Risk: Moderate


Cristian Pache - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 ATL OF 1 60

Grades Update: Dec 2020
OFP Role Hit Power Field Arm Run
60 70 50 50 70 70 70

Dec 2020 Report

Evaluator: Geoff Pontes

Age: 22 yr
Height: 6-2
Weight: 215 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2015 IFA
RuleV: On 40-Man Roster

Physical Description: Tall, athletic, muscular, but still lean, Pache is built like an NFL receiver with similar footspeed to some of the top burners in professional sports. His shoulders are broad, and his frame has continued to add positive weight over the last two seasons. He's started to shed some of the baby fat as he's added more muscle to his frame, without losing his elite speed. He's ticked down from the 80 runner he was as a teenager, but his speed still plays in double plus territory, particularly in the field. Still 10 to 15 pounds of muscle remain in his frame hinting at some latent power upside.

Hit: Sets up fairly square to the pitcher with a slightly off-set front foot. We've seen different iterations of this stance over the last year with a string of key elements. He's far more upright now than he had been early in 2019, and has gone from closed off, to slightly open, to a happy medium of the two. He employs a leg lift trigger that will vary in height and exaggeration on fastballs versus breaking pitches and offspeed. This gives me a fairly high comfort level with his pitch recognition as it manifests in the physical form. He's not going to produce barrels at a high rate, at least initially, but he should continually square up and make average to above average quality of contact. His swing path is on the longer side, but that goes hand in hand with his ability to extend on pitches on the outer half. There's some swing and miss at times due to his swing length but his innate hand eye coordination and discerning eye negate some of the exposure. One knock I have is Pache's tendency to lean in heavily at the point of contact and in follow through putting him in poor running position. The adjustments to the more upright setup seem to be a conscious effort to neutralize this. Overall an average hit tool due to a lack of high end hard contact and some swing and miss. Still some projection for this grade to tick up in the coming years. Grade: 50

Power: The early years of Pache's professional career were a lesson in projection, development, and progression. In his first 832 plate appearances across three levels Pache had zero home runs and a light isolated slugging of .070. Over his last 951 MiLB plate appearances he hit 21, and more than doubled his ISO right as he started to transform physically from a gangly teenager to a young man. He has the bat speed, strength and extension to produce average home run totals at peak. He gets into good hitting position and has continued to get comfortable as he's refined his setup and swing path. His excellent speed once underway allows him to boost his overall slugging profile but turning gap shots into doubles and triples. His 2019 data supports an average power grade with an average launch angle of 13 degrees, average exit velocity of 88 mph, and a max of 107 mph. Keep in mind all of that was done as a 20 year old. Grade: 50

Field: Pache's strongest skill and one of the loudest defensive profiles in the minors. Excellent vision in the field, strong body control, and elite makeup speed allow Pache to cover significant ground in centerfield. He's athletic enough to make diving plays and put himself into position to get the ball back into the infield quickly. He'll likely be one of the strongest outfield defenders in the majors day one. Already showcased his run saving ability during the Braves NLCS run this season. Grade: 70

Arm: Double plus arm strength and good accuracy on throws into the infield. Excellent online carry and top level velocities of 96+ mph from centerfield per Statcast. A true rifle of an arm that's a weapon with his defensive profile. Grade: 70

Run: Double plus runner, Pache derives the most value from his speed as a defender. His aforementioned strong makeup speed and ability to cover much ground in center allow his defensive tool to rate as highly as it does. Offensively he's not a great base stealer despite his speed, and he's slowed coming out of the box due to a poor running position on follow through of his swing. He does show the ability to turn of the jets with a ball hit in the gap easily turning some singles to doubles and doubles to triples. While he's not a great base stealer, he's a very good baserunner. Grade: 70

Overall: Arguably the most tooled up prospect at the moment. Pache should break camp as the Braves everyday centerfielder from day one. While the tools and upside have always been apparent the offensive upside finally began to manifest itself in 2019. His early MLB returns while underwhelming in a small sample, showed flashes of brilliance. The Braves have instilled a high level of confidence in Pache from his first days within the organization, and that confidence shines through in his play on both sides of the ball. The offensive profile as it stands looks capable of average to a tick better production with more growth in the tank. That combined with his elite centerfield defense give Pache the upside of the great centerfielders of yesteryear. The archetype of Torii Hunter or Andrew Jones, deriving value on both sides of the ball, but with their all-world defense as their carrying tool.

OFP: 60
Role: 70 - Impact Player - Perennial All-Star
Risk: Moderate


Dom Thompson-Williams - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA OF 39 30

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role Hit Power Field Arm Run
30 30 40 40 50 50 50

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Joe Doyle

Age: 26 yr
Height: 6-0
Weight: 195 lbs
Hits/Throws: L/R
Acquired: 2016 Draft - Round 5, NYY
RuleV: Eligible

Physical Description: Shorter stature but strong, lean body. Durability has been a concern. Long arms. Slightly open stance, crouched over the plate. Hands start low help to allow leverage and loft into swing.

Hit: Lofty swing helps to allow impact on the baseball. Plenty of swing and miss in the current swing, though he has shown the ability to draw some walks. Currently gap power against good arms, though he's shown the ability to be more. Grade: 40

Power: Shows good power against lesser arms, but struggles to get into his power against tougher arms. Natural loft and leverage in long arms allows for him to impact the baseball, though there are concerns he'll never be able to tap into it consistently. Grade: 40

Field: Average fielder who fits best in a corner. Above average arm and above average speed play well in any situation. Times of focus and attitude have inhibited his ability to reach his defensive ceiling as a leader. Grade: 50

Arm: Good arm that struggles to get on target at times. Has a tendency to overshoot targets. Baseball can tail away from target as well. Plenty of arm strength. Needs refining. Grade: 50

Run: Good runner who's stolen 20 bases in pro ball in a season. Injuries have slowed him down a touch, but athletic body and archetype should allow the speed to come back and at least grade out as average at the next level. Good instincts on the basepaths. Grade: 50

Overall: Thompson-Williams has shown the ability to impact the game, but focus, health and ability to adjust has slowed his development. Raw tools are there to reach big league potential. Will need to stay healthy and adapt to better pitching if he's to play big league ball.

OFP: 30
Role: 30 - Up/Down Emergency Depth
Risk: High


Tim Elliott - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA RHP 38 30

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role FB CB SL CH Cnt/Cmd
30 30 45 40 45 50 45/45

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Isaiah Burrows

Age: 23 yr
Height: 6-1
Weight: 200 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2019 Draft - Round 4
RuleV: 2023

Physical Description: Sturdy and compact frame. Good size to upper half, chest and arms filled out with added muscle. Wide shoulders with strong legs. Good overall body strength with added weight to his frame.

Delivery & Mechanics: Long and Loose arm action with standard three-quarter delivery. Good extension and follow through. Repeatable. High right leg kick from the windup. Arm action can be shortened up. Tendency to get wild from the stretch. Struggles with command, showed signs of improvement in pro ball.

Fastball: Low-90s offering with a bit of life. Velocity holds. Shows good command low in the zone. Struggles with armside command. Added velocity and movement can improve the pitch. Grade: 45

Curveball: Low-to-mid 70s breaking ball that lacks consistent depth and break. Doesn't command his curveball effectively. Tendency to spike. Has a bit of late movement, needs more refinement and reps. Grade: 40

Slider: Low-80s offering that lacks depth and horizontal movement. Can get flat at times, left hanging in the zone too often. Struggles with command and location consistently. Has shown flashes of effectiveness. Improved command and life necessary. Grade: 45

Changeup: Low-80s off-speed pitch with good fade and tumble. Has solid arm speed. Late fade, forces soft contact and ground balls. Locates changeup well, thrown with confidence. Good secondary offering. Grade: 50

Control and Command: Struggles with control and command. Can't locate pitches for strikes consistently. Changeup and fastball showed improvement in location. Mixes his pitches well, needs more refinement to maximize his stuff. Attacks batters, forces ground balls to escape a jam. Showed signs of improved command last season. Control: 45 | Command: 45

Overall: A fourth-round pick by the Mariners in 2019, Tim Elliott made strides in his improvement last season in pro ball. His stuff lacks velocity and movement. He mixes his pitches well in the count and has a repeatable delivery. Almost assuredly a reliever. Must work to command his arsenal.

OFP: 30
Role: 30 - Up/Down Emergency Depth
Risk: Moderate


Alberto Rodriguez - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA OF 37 30

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role Hit Power Field Arm Run
30 30 50 40 50 50 50

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Alex Jensen

Age: 20 yr
Height: 5-11
Weight: 180 lbs
Hits/Throws: B/R
Acquired: 2017 IFA, TOR
RuleV: 2021

Physical Description: Compact 5'11 185 pound frame. Frame isn't the most projectable, but his body composition is fairly young and he will likely shift to more muscle over the next few years. Should wind up in the 200 pound range at maturity but is certainly not a physical specimen. Average athlete overall, but packs more strength than you'd guess based off of physical appearance. Strong lower half.

Hit: Simple lower half with a fairly wide base. Lower half movement is muted, which is necessary due to a fairly busy upper half. Unconventional hitting mechanics in the upper half with a notable drawback in his hands as he starts his swing prevents him from taking a steeper angle with his bat path. That said, he does seem to time everything out exceptionally well. Consistent, loud, line-drive oriented contact with quick, strong wrists. Very good eye and plus bat to ball skills. All fields approach and goes with the pitch. Main concern is that his natural contact and timing abilities with his current swing will prevent him from risking a swing change until the upper minors. Overall, a very good feel for contact and feel for the strike zone. Grade: 50

Power: Rodriguez packs more raw punch than you'd expect for his size and the ball jumps off of his bat. Unfortunately, a flat bat path significantly holds back his power ceiling and his current swing mechanics would make adding loft fairly difficult. That said, the loud contact and exit velocities are there for this tool to jump in the future. Raw power currently plays above in game. Upside is there for average or better power in games, but until the bat path changes it won't be unlocked. Grade: 40

Field: Rodriguez, signed as a center fielder, has since shifted to right field. His defense has improved steadily, with just one error in 41 games in 2019. He has decent range with an average arm currently and projects to stick in right field long term. Grade: 50

Arm: Limited sample size to look at, but Rodriguez has a solid arm with average carry for a corner outfielder and solid accuracy. He could tick up a half grade in this area as he continues to put on good weight spending time in the weight room. Grade: 50

Run: Rodriguez is a solid average runner currently. He has good first step instincts that help him with jumps, but he does project to slow down a tick as he matures. That could be counteracted as he shifts his body to good weight however and the Mariners have been among the league's best in this regard. Grade: 50

Overall: There is risk to Rodriguez in that he's a hit tool first prospect that likely will need to alter his swing at some point. The track record of corner outfield prospects who don't hit for power isn't exactly glowing. That being said, you can't teach Rodriguez's natural internal timing skills nor his natural feel for the barrel and as long as he hits, he will continue to factor into the teams long term plans. A fun tidbit is that he is longtime friends with Noelvi Marte, growing up in the same city (Cotui) just a year apart.

OFP: 30
Role: 30 - Up/Down Emergency Depth
Risk: High


Devin Sweet - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA RHP 36 35

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role FB CB CH Cnt/Cmd
35 30 45 40 55 50/50

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Nick Stillman

Age: 24 yr
Height: 5-11
Weight: 185 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2018 Undrafted
RuleV: 2022

Physical Description: Sweet's short, wide frame is filled out with a thick lower half that he uses to generate his velocity. He's an above average athlete who moves well on and off the mound, relying on rhythm to repeat delivery.

Delivery & Mechanics: A quick worker, Sweet rocks and fires through a high 3/4th slot. A clean and simple delivery that features modest effort. Sweet has the athleticism to repeat the delivery but the reliance on balance and rhythm can lead to inconsistency as he fatigues.

Fastball: While the fastball took a jump in 2019 (he scrapped an ineffective two seamer) and is now up to 90-93, t95, it is still a fringe-average offering with decent ride at the top of the zone. He gets the most out of it, though, as it tunnels with the changeup and has enough command to keep hitters off the barrel. He knows how to use the pitch and works it up in the zone for punchouts, but will struggle to get the same results against more advanced competition. Grade: 45

Curveball: Sweet's breaking pitch has been labeled a slider and a curve, and the lack of industry consensus are indicative of the lack of a distinctive shape or action. While it might be two separate pitches, the breaking pitch has a slight hump and some 3/4th tilt that Sweet lands for strikes. It can flash average when he buries it, but it plays best on the edges of the zone as it's not tempting enough when off the plate. To stick as a starter, Sweet will need to refine his breaking pitch to keep hitters from staying on the fastball the second and third time through the order. Grade: 40

Changeup: Sweet's premier offering, his changeup has plus action, with late fade and sink that resembles a splitter. It's a swing and miss pitch that carries his profile and elevates the rest of his arsenal. He can throw it to lefties and righties, in the zone or diving below. It will still straighten out and get crushed on occasion, but it is an impressive major league caliber offering. Further development and consistency are what will make or break his chance at a major league role. Grade: 55

Control and Command: With average to above control and average command, Sweet is consistently around the plate with all three of his pitches. He will locate at the top of the zone with the fastball and drop the changeup on the edge or bury it with enough regularity that hitters have a tough time laying off. Will leave some floating or drifting into the heart of the plate but there's enough command for a starter profile. Control: 50 | Command: 50

Overall: Sweet has seen major improvement in his profile from undrafted flier, to reliever, to a starter who saw great results in the low minors. He relies on a plus change that he can sink or fade to put guys away and keep them off of an average fastball. His breaking pitch is infrequent and inconsistent. Despite possessing the command and stamina of a starter, his repertoire still best profiles in the pen as a multi-inning relief option. If his breaking ball takes a big step forward he may stick in the rotation, but his easiest and most likely path to the big leagues is to lean on his best pitch and hope the fastball ticks up in shorter stints.

OFP: 35
Role: 30 - Up/Down Emergency Depth
Risk: High


Matt Brash - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA RHP 35 35

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role FB SL CH Cnt/Cmd
35 30 55 45 55 50/50

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Joe Doyle

Age: 23 yr
Height: 6-1
Weight: 180 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2019 Draft - Round 5, SD
RuleV: 2023

Physical Description: Small and wiry frame, more room for growth and added muscle. Slender build with lanky arms. Lower half looks a bit more filled out than his upper body at the moment.

Delivery & Mechanics: Violent, whippy arm action. Good extension and follow through on each pitch. Comes to the plate from a low release point and gets the ball out in front. 3/4 arm action. Violence could be a deterrent for future starter capabilities. Three-quarter arm slot that includes some deception. Consistent and repeated mechanics majority of the time, though aforementioned violence is a concern.

Fastball: Consistent mid-90s offering with late ride towards the top of the zone. Ball comes out explosive and a bit of late ride forces whiffs. Fastball keeps improving as velocity continues to rise, reportedly reaching 96 mph this summer. Effective, model pitch. Grade: 55

Slider: Breaking ball has slurvy tendencies and good depth. It's 77-80 on most nights and because of the extension and release point, tunnels well with the heater. Command has been an issue. Grade: 45

Changeup: 81-84 with some tumble and plenty of arm-side fade. He spots the pitch well and induced a lot of ground balls because of the separation and break. Grade: 55

Control and Command: Good command for a pitcher of his size and effort, though over extended outings it could become a concern thanks to violent delivery. Good relief profile. Control: 50 | Command: 50

Overall: Brash has an outside shot at starting at the big league level, though that will be incumbent on the development of his breaking ball and improving his delivery and body can hold up over the duration of long outings. As it stands, he projects to be a plus fastball guy with a good supporting off-speed pitch and a get-me-over breaking ball.

OFP: 35
Role: 30 - Up/Down Emergency Depth
Risk: High


Michael Limoncelli - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA RHP 34 35

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role FB CB CH Cnt/Cmd
35 30 50 55 45 55/50

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Alex Jensen

Age: 21 yr
Height: 6-2
Weight: 185 lbs
Hits/Throws: R-R
Acquired: 2019 Draft - Round 6
RuleV: 2024

Physical Description: Long, lanky 6'2 190-pound frame with some projection remaining despite a thinner frame. Room for another 10 pounds or so. Pretty even weight distribution throughout his body, could potentially add velocity by strengthening his lower half a bit. Good athlete who stood out with the bat as well. Competitor makeup.

Delivery & Mechanics: Loose arm action that he repeats well despite some effort to his delivery. Arm speed stands out and indicates a chance to increase velocity with added strength. Will need to revisit after seeing his post TJS delivery. Loose, high 3/4 delivery that is repeated well despite some effort. Repeats his release points well with all three offerings. Generally shows good composure from the stretch. Could use MLB level coaching to tone down the effort in the finish of his delivery.

Fastball: Fastball sits in the mid to low 90's when healthy. Fairly average movement profile in the past (though Wiener and Co have been wizards at optimizing this pitch) with his 4S. Plus arm speed and projection indicate a velocity uptick could be coming. Finds the zone well with the pitch. Currently control over command. 88-90 2S is used as a weapon against left-handed hitters. Also thrown consistently for strikes. Right now, it's an average fastball, but the tools are there for it to jump a grade. Grade: 50

Curveball: This is easily Limoncelli's best pitch. Mid 70's velocity with more power coming. Limoncelli clearly has a natural feel for spin and control/command of the pitch is well beyond his years. Big bend creates swing and miss but it's the ability to locate that makes the pitch devastating. Easy above average pitch that becomes plus with a tick of added power. Grade: 55

Changeup: This is a developing pitch for Limoncelli, who had little need to use the pitch as a cold-weather prep arm. He finds the zone with the pitch that sits 83-85. He mimics his FB arm-action well, but the pitch can blend in with the fastball movement and needs to add a bit more velocity separation to work against better hitters. Enough here to use against lefties but the pitch clearly hasn't reached it's ceiling yet. Should be enough here to become average with time, but not there yet. Grade: 45

Control and Command: Control is above command now, but Limoncelli pounds the zone with all four pitches. He repeats his release well and given his natural athleticism, that should continue. Command is still coming with reps and coaching, but he still has well above average command for his age and background. Average right now, with a realistic chance to take another step forward. Control: 50 | Command: 50

Overall: A TJS survivor from his senior year from New York, we really only have his junior year summer to go on for a healthy Limoncelli, but that performance was very encouraging. Prior to injury, Limoncelli was getting late day one hype and had "helium" hype. His natural blend of athleticism, control and physical projection is one that the Mariners have had great success with in recent years. He draws plus reviews on and off the field for his makeup. Potential breakout player in the system if fully healthy. Some relief risk given the injury history, frame and lack of a true solid changeup.

OFP: 35
Role: 30 - Up/Down Emergency Depth
Risk: High


Kristian Cardozo - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA RHP 33 35

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role FB CB CH Cnt/Cmd
35 30 50 50 45 55/50

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Joe Doyle

Age: 18 yr
Height: 6-2
Weight: 175 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2019 IFA
RuleV: 2024

Physical Description: Big time athleticism and quick arm. Starters build with an arsenal to support it. Sound mechanics and durable frame should development well.

Delivery & Mechanics: Loose, quick arm with an over-the-top downhill plane. Shows good balance and strong plant lead leg for younger prospects. Release point is repeatable for all pitches.

Fastball: Pretty straight as it stands with a little ride. Has primarily been low 90s, touching 93 in international training for Seattle. Projects into the high 90s thanks to arm speed and athletic body. Shape is to be determined. Grade: 50

Curveball: Very good feel for a curveball at a young age. Lots of depth and keeps armspeed well. Currently a pretty low speed, 72-73 offering. Projects as a possible above average offering as he adds strength and velo. Grade: 50

Changeup: Still gathering feels for changeup, but already exhibits some tumble and fade. Low 80s offering that's particularly effective against righties. Could be his best secondary in due time. Throws with conviction. Grade: 45

Control and Command: Very strong command for a 17-year-old. Projects to be a good starter archetype thanks to natural feel to pitch and pound strikezone. Control: 55 | Command: 50

Overall: Cardozo will be a long-project but his command and current stuff project well for a future starter. Likely will end up in the 6-2, 195 pound range with a mid 90s fastball and good secondary offerings, both of which have flashed at least average. Adding strength is the biggest priority right now.

OFP: 35
Role: 30 - Up/Down Emergency Depth
Risk: Extreme


Wyatt Mills - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA RHP 32 35

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role FB SL Cnt/Cmd
35 30 50 55 50/50

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Isaiah Burrows

Age: 26 yr
Height: 6-4
Weight: 190 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2017 Draft - 3rd Round
RuleV: 2021

Physical Description: Tall and solid build throughout. Upper and lower half fills out for the most part with strong legs and broad shoulders. Does hunch over at times on the mound, may be more due to his delivery. May not show aggression or intensity, but has good poise. Doesn't seem rattled with runners on base. Fights back in the count.

Delivery & Mechanics: Low arm action, throws low to the waist with a long arm slinging slot. Ball releases quick, but not consistent and repeatable. Some effort in overall arm action with how much tork goes into his whole body after every pitch. Hooks his arm behind his body at times, just cocks it back and sling it. Funky three-quarter "submarine" delivery. Elbow gets low to the ground and bends over after each sequence. Not very smooth, repeatable or consistent, but still effective. Ball comes out quick and keeps batters off guard. May see some effort concerns with his delivery, nothing "violent" just something to keep an eye on moving forward.

Fastball: Solid low-90s fastball with good sink that runs off the plate. May dip to the high-80s in velocity at times, but the sinking action makes it effective. Good pitch to jam lefties and righties inside, force ground balls to the infield. Good pitch from the stretch with runners on, but nothing special in terms of movement or velocity. Grade: 50

Slider: Good low-80s off-speed pitch that forces whiffs, makes a nice pairing with his fastball. Often throws it in two-strike counts with solid break at the hands against righties. His funky delivery may hide this pitch until it breaks at the plate. May tail outside the zone, as well. Solid spin rate and good offering as a whole. Grade: 55

Changeup: Very early in development, rarely thrown. Primarily a two-pitch mix with slider/fastball. Could offer a dip in velocity, but stays flat in the zone and not thrown with confidence. Still could become a third offering in his repertoire, but nothing stands out at the moment. Grade:

Control and Command: Struggles to consistently find the zone and hit his spot. Has trouble locating fastball on the outside corner to righties. Slider may break way inside the plate for an easily called ball. When falling behind in the count, he battles back with a few good placed fastballs or sliders. When his control is good, he gets out of jams with RISP with a softly hit ground ball, possible double play. Still struggles to hit his target consistently, and it leads to several walks in an outing. Control: 50 | Command: 50

Overall: Mills is a typical low three-quarter slot submarine reliever out of the bullpen. He has a good fastball/slider combination that has good spin rates to force swings and misses or ground balls. His changeup is nothing special at the moment and is rarely thrown, but it could develop into a third pitch with time. His command and control keeps him from getting consistent outs as he goes up in level, as shown by his high BB/9 rate in Double-A last season. Regardless, he faced tough competition last year and held his own for the most part. Doesn't have much of a ceiling, but could become a MLB contributor out of the bullpen.

OFP: 35
Role: 30 - Up/Down Emergency Depth
Risk: Low


Aaron Fletcher - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA LHP 31 35

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role FB SL SLV Cnt/Cmd
35 30 50 50 45 45/45

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Joe Doyle

Age: 25 yr
Height: 6-0
Weight: 220 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/L
Acquired: 2018 Draft - 14th Round, WSH
RuleV: On 40-man

Physical Description: Strong and sturdy lefty on the mound. Physical presence with a good build to his frame. Thick lower half with strong glutes. Wide shoulders. Good amount of muscle packed to his frame.

Fastball: Generally a low 90s offering that's flashing into the mid 90s on occasion. Fastball is inconsistent with run, sink, and ride depending on release. Seemingly can't throw a straight fastball if he tried. Deception allows the pitch to sneak up on hitters. Command has been an issue. Grade: 50

Slider: Another offering with deception. Probably his best pitch. Plenty of late break. Pretty devastating, especially in on righties. Reverse splits. Grade: 50

Slurve: Low-80s with inconsistent movement profile and release point. Must focus on developing pitch as another offering against lefties. Grade: 45

Control and Command: Generally not great control, really emphasized in short appearances in 2020. Projects an average command pitcher when fully settled. Control: 45 | Command: 45

Overall: Fletcher has been an absolutely shutdown reliever at every level and his reverse splits suggest he has a long future at the big league level. Fastball consistency, as well as command across the board will need to improve if he hopes his deception and average stuff will succeed long-term.

OFP: 35
Role: 30 - Up/Down Emergency Depth
Risk: Low


Joe Rizzo - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA 3B 30 35

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role Hit Power Field Arm Run
35 30 50 40 45 50 40

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Joe Doyle

Age: 23 yr
Height: 5-10
Weight: 205 lbs
Hits/Throws: L/R
Acquired: 2016 Draft - Round 2
RuleV: Eligible

Physical Description: Compact and sturdy, Rizzo carries the frame of a catcher with a barrel chest, big hands, and strong forearms. His stout frame has appeared filled out since high school, but he is still converting more weight into lean muscle each year. The concern, though, is that continuing to pack on muscle may result in further loss of flexibility and agility (which Rizzo can't afford to lose if he wants to stick anywhere but first base).

Hit: Rizzo's loudest tool is the short, left handed stroke that carries his profile. His swing has undergone adjustments over the last two years, eliminating and then adding a stride, closing and opening the stance, lowering and then raising his hands, all in an attempt to locate that balance of contact and power that would allow him to reach his second round ceiling. While the swing has fluctuated and continues to undergo adjustments (another swing change in 2020 will debut in ‘21) Rizzo has never truly lost his above average bat-to-ball skills owed to his quick wrists, strong forearms, and excellent hand-eye-coordination. He has a solid idea of the strike zone which puts him in favorable counts and allows him to spray low line drives across the diamond. Grade: 50

Power: Despite his positional profile and several swing adjustments, Rizzo has never shown above average, or even average, pop as a pro. His compact swing is built for contact and low line drives. Thus far, blasting balls over the fence with regularity has remained unchecked on Rizzo's wish list. He did reach double digit home runs in ‘19 and will shoot the gaps, but his exit velocities don't scream "untapped, corner infield power." Rumor has it Rizzo has added significant muscle in the offseason and adjusted his bat path once more, but we have yet to see if that will unlock the necessary loft and velocity to profile for corner power without sacrificing his ability to make contact. Grade: 40

Field: Rizzo's defense has been in question since the day he was drafted, lacking the natural athleticism and range for the middle of the diamond and without the frame to profile for third. As a pro he's received looks at third, first, and second, but his best position is still lining up on the left side of the plate. He has soft, quick hands, smooth transfers, and has improved at third the last two years, handling in-between hops and charging balls with more confidence. But his limited range, slow footwork, and average athleticism indicate he will never be an above average defender. There's not much upside to uncover defensively, and Rizzo will likely profile as a defensively below average infield utility player, average at first, or fringe average in the hot corner. Grade: 45

Arm: Short arm motion from a 3/4 slot, Rizzo doesn't have a cannon but he can make all the routine throws from third. He gets good carry and has improved his accuracy through improved footwork. It's an arm that could play in left with some adjustments, but current motions are ideal for infield. Grade: 50

Run: Rizzo is an instinctual runner, but a below average one (and not a pretty one). Choppy, top-heavy, and high effort, Rizzo lacks natural burst to beat out grounders or steal bases. He has great instincts on the bases and avoids mistakes but is teetering on being slapped with the "lumbering" label. Grade: 40

Overall: Joe Rizzo is lost in the shuffle of Seattle's big name prospects and is sliding precariously down the defensive spectrum while his bat has yet to deliver above average production--a damning prognosis. But Rizzo is still only 22, has shown the ability to make adjustments, and has the drive and work ethic to transform his profile in an offseason. There's a chance Rizzo unlocks nascent power while retaining his feel to hit through one crucial swing change. The issue, though, is that Rizzo is now relying on a big step forward to save him from dropping fully off the organization's radar. This year will be critical for Rizzo to prove that he can carve out space for himself on a major league diamond.

OFP: 35
Role: 30 - Up/Down Emergency Depth
Risk: Moderate


Milkar Perez - Scouting Report


Rank History
Year Team Position Team Rank OFP
2021 SEA 3B 29 40

Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP Role Hit Power Field Arm Run
40 40 45 50 40 60 40

Nov 2020 Report

Evaluator: Joe Doyle

Age: 19 yr
Height: 6-0
Weight: 215 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2019 IFA
RuleV: 2024

Physical Description: Big, broad body with sloping shoulders and strong, thick lower half. Thicker neck and hips suggests corner profile and regressive speed as he ages. Big forearms. Strong player.

Hit: Slightly open, crouched stance with low head and slightly slouched over eyes. Well-leveraged swing starts with weight heavy on backfoot. Attacks pitches high with confidence. Has struggled with breaking balls at his back foot. Goes well the other way with pitches on the outside corner. Advanced approach for young player. Grade: 45

Power: Frame suggests power profile in his future, but lacks impact currently. Big body generates raw swing speed. Inconsistent bat path inhibits ability to consistently get to raw tools. Should develop well as he ages. Potential for 20+ homerun power. Grade: 50

Field: Current athleticism allows the body to handle 3B, though there are concerns he'll grow/age out of the role. May end up in LF or 1B. Already a fringy runner. Soft hands and big arm allow inefficiencies to play down. Ability to stay in shape will dictate future on dirt. Grade: 40

Arm: Big arm. Can make all the throws and clock big velos across infield dirt. Accurate and reliable. Can play in any outfield spot too. Grade: 60

Run: Already a fringy runner, may regress depending on weight added. A little sluggish out of the box. Likely never a base stealing threat. As has been said, physique will dictate future tool. Grade: 40

Overall: Milkar Perez will need the bat to carry him into his big league ceiling. The arm is clearly a carrying tool in the field, though it's impact may be negated if it can't play due to big body. A bit of a project. Several years out.

OFP: 40
Role: 40 - Below Avg. Player - Bench / Platoon
Risk: Extreme