This past weekend, Area Code Select West took place at Dodger Stadium, a two-day event featuring some of the top high school talent on the West Coast. There were two major takeaways from the weekend. Walker Buehler level tight pants were all the rage and the talent pool was absolutely loaded. One thing to know about this event in comparison to other Area Code events is this was 40 hand-selected players, the cream of the crop if you will. These are the players who stood out in comparison to their peers. This piece will end with a couple interviews with players.
The Campbell Camels. "The Nobodies From Nowhere." A Mid-Major Powerhouse.
Harnett County, North Carolina is about as rural as rural can get. It sits as a midpoint between Raleigh and Fayetteville, loaded with farmland as far as the eye can see. It's the last place you'd expect a Division I university to be situated, yet hiding in the fields by the Cape Fear River is one of the top mid-major baseball programs in the country.
How MLB Orgs Are Quantifying Deception In Their Draft Models
Baseball has been littered with new metrics over recent years and in turn, our process for understanding what makes great players has been better for it. Both at the major league and amateur scouting levels. However, quantifying things like deception within the baseball pitching landscape has long been esoteric. This is for multiple reasons; but the mystical nature of it revolves around the inability to properly define deception and associate a metric to it. Although there is some preliminary research circulating, there has been no publicly crowned method on deception. Emphasis on the PUBLIC aspect.
2023 MLB Draft - Top 300 Prospects
A new year, a new board and new ranks. The Top 300 is here. With the summer showcase circuit behind us and college fall ball in the rearview mirror, we’re ready to re-rank the 2023 draft class. Our team has taken in 9 showcase tournaments and been closely monitoring fall scrimmages. We’ve collected data and pitch metrics from guys showcasing their summer gains and, boy, do things look promising. Some guys are breaking out.
10 Powerhouse High School Teams for the 2023 Season
3 Under-the-radar College Pitchers Who "Move" Like Future big leaguers
In recent years, Major League Baseball has seen a surge of pitching prospects drafted after the first round skyrocket up prospect lists. These pitchers generally have one or two things in common. They’re either exceptional movers with considerable projection, or they’re metric darlings with outlier pitch-shaping qualities.
Why Wake Forest Will Be the Last Team Standing in Omaha
Conventional wisdom says that College Baseball’s preseason #1 pick, LSU, are the overwhelming favorites to win the CWS; and why not? After bringing in the top recruiting class of 2022, which was highlighted by SS Gavin Guidry, C Brady Neal, RHP Nigel Noot and OF Paxton Kling, they also went absolutely wild in the transfer portal, landing Freshman of the Year Tommy White from NC St, first team All-American Paul Skenes from Air Force, and coveted arms in Thatcher Hurd from UCLA and Christian Little from Vanderbilt. If that wasn’t enough, they return the potential first overall pick in the 2023 draft and Co-SEC player of the year in Dylan Crews along with star 1B Tre Morgan and pitchers Ty Floyd and Grant Taylor.
College Baseball Preseason Top 25 Rankings
The Preseason Top 25 of 2023 is upon us and the LSU Tigers stand alone atop our proverbial mountain. Jay Johnson and staff have put together a Wardaddy lineup with a stable of arms the envy of the rest of college baseball. Outfielder Dylan Crews enters the season as our Preseason Player of they Year. He’s complimented by a myriad of premium arms in Paul Skenes, Thatcher Hurd, Grant Taylor, Ty Floyd, Blake Money, Christian Little and more. Pitching depth was an issue at times in 2022 for the Tigers. That doesn’t appear to be a problem in 2023.
Tennessee is our No. 2 overall ranked team and it’s a close second. The Volunteers are headlined by elite arms headlined by our Preseason Pitcher of the Year; Chase Dollander. Mix in guys like Chase Burns, Wyatt Evans and Drew Beam and they’ll be a headache for opposing lineups. Tennessee brings a ton of wallop into their lineup this season too.
Two teams we’re rather bullish on are the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (No. 3) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (No. 18). Both of these programs have more pitching than they know what to do with. Wake Forest also features some real offensive firepower in 1B/OF Nick Kurtz, supplemented by a stable of really nice hitters. Iowa doesn’t have quite as much thump in their lineup, but they do possess an anchor in 1B/OF Keaton Anthony. On the pitching side, Iowa may have the two pitchers with the best pure stuff in college baseball in RHP Marcus Morgan and RHP Brody Brecht. They’ve both struggled with command at times, but if they lock it in, the Hawkeyes may have two first rounders in 2024 there. True freshman Cade Obermueller has also been up to 96 this spring and has an argument to go really early next July too.
This Pirates Draft Model suggests a stunner with the No. 1 overall pick
By way of winning the first ever MLB Draft lottery, The Pittsburgh Pirates find themselves in far too familiar of a position. Holding the first overall pick in an MLB Draft. When Ben Cherington turns in the selection on July 9, it will mark the franchises’ sixth No. 1 overall selection. The most of any franchise in MLB history. Certainly not something owner Bob Nutting and the powers that be are looking to boast about. Could Paul Skenes be the answer?
2023 MLB Draft Preview: Georgia
As the sun sets on 2022 and we look forward to 2023, it’s time to provide an amuse-bouche to the spring ahead. Georgia has always been blessed with amateur talent on a yearly basis, and 2022 might have been the most top-loaded group in the state’s history, with four players selected in the first 15 picks of the draft. Conversely, 2023 lacks that firepower at the top, but has quite a few talents that could play their way into the first round conversation this spring. Those players, and more, will be highlighted in this pre-season top ten.
2023 MLB Draft: Big Stuff, No Command, Big Future?
In today’s game, “stuff” rules supreme. It’s a three-true-outcome meta and strikeouts are king. Organizations believe they can turn pure raw stuff into usable big league pitching no matter the command woes. Frankly, in most cases they’re correct. There will always be a threshold where “effectively wild” dissipates and a pitcher’s control becomes a liability, but by and large, teams will always take shots on guys with special arms.
Prospects Live 2023 Preseason Collegiate All-Americans
Prospects Live is back with their 2023 Preseason All-American teams leading up to their extensive 2023 college baseball coverage.
The Prospects Live Preseason All-American teams are listed below, broken down into three separate teams. We selected our Preseason All-Americans based on their production from 2022, their prospect status in terms of our MLB Draft evaluations, and 2023 expectations.
Five Super-Sleepers Who Could Go No. 1 in the 2023 MLB Draft
On New Year’s Day last year, Jackson Holliday ranked as the No. 42 overall prospect on our 2022 MLB Draft Top 300. It’s not just our board either. MLB Pipeline had Holliday the No. 52 overall prospect this time last year. The rest is history. In 2021, Henry Davis surged from a late-first round projection to going first overall. In 2020, Arkansas outfielder Heston Kjerstad ended up going No. 2 overall, but just six months prior he was more thought to be a guy that’d go in the 25-40 range. Surely 2023 is likely to offer similar narratives.
USA Baseball Announces 2023 NHSI Lineup
The 16-team field has been unveiled for the tenth edition of the National High School Invitational, one of the more prestigious tournaments on the scouting calendar. The tournament, hosted by USA Baseball, will take place at the National Training Complex in Cary, NC and will take place from March 29 through April 1.
The Strengths and Weaknesses of Dylan Crews
For a couple years now, ever since arriving to Baton Rouge, Louisiana State outfielder Dylan Crews has been revered by just about everyone in the baseball industry as one of the most feared hitters on the amateur scene. A career .356 hitter with 40 homers to his name in just two seasons, Crews has put his name in the lights among some of the most impressive bats to ever bulldoze the SEC. The seemingly invincible Crews has bludgeoned pitchers with increasing authority the last two years. So how does one get him out? Is he already too advanced for college baseball? Is there a blueprint to balance the scales?
LIVE LOOKS: Northeast Fall Ball
2023 MLB Draft Spotlight: Brady Smith
As part of our offseason draft coverage, we wanted to go further in depth on draft prospects that you might not be highly aware of--even if you are a draft hound. Brady Smith has emerged into a high draft follow for area scouts covering eastern Tennessee this Spring. The right handed pitcher from Bean Station, TN put up gaudy strikeout totals during the 2022 showcase circuit, and has some of the highest breaking ball spin rates in the 2023 draft class.
A few underrated preps in the 2023 MLB Draft
One of my favorite aspects in scouting the MLB Draft and amateur baseball in general is uncovering the sleepers, or the underrated if I may.
Going to the ballpark with the intention of seeing a player and leaving with possibly two dudes who were off your radar completely. It’s what drives me, and it’s clear it’s what teams are hunting too.
Guys like Xavier Issac and even Jackson Merrill were relatively unknown as Top 50 targets in the last few years, but both found their way into the first round. It’s a yearly occurrence where a prep (or multiple) makes the jump into the spotlight and it happens before you know it. Maybe these names can help get you started early on some names to watch this upcoming spring.
C Luke Scherrer
Yucaipa (Ca.)
While there’s a few high school backstops who garner a majority of the national attention, Scherrer has been quietly evolving into one of the most complete catchers in the class.
The Cal Poly commit is the rare high school catcher you can easily project will stick behind the dish for the next decade. Athletic in the crouch, while explosive getting out with simple, deliberate actions that translate it very well in-game and led to the fastest pop time (1.80) earlier this year at the Perfect Game National Showcase. Tons of present strength in his lower half out of a physical frame (6-2, 210) with a whippy, accurate arm that he deploys from a lower arm slot then you would rarely see with most catchers. Advanced blocking and footwork give Scherrer close to above-average defensive tools across the board. To tie it all together, The Yucaipa product has been lauded as an excellent game manager with a high-level IQ on and off the field.
Where the true helium is coming from though is with the stick. Scherrer has been displaying a strong hit tool all year long, starting with an all-tournament bid at NHSI back in April and continued to hit through the summer and into a strong Jupiter performance at WWBA in October. It’s a simple, compact right-handed swing that shows above-average bat speed with a bat path that creates easy loft. Scherrer’s ability to get into his strong lower half paired with a present feel for the barrel have shown above-average raw power, especially to the pull-side, and there's now a clear path to a possible plus tool as there is still some projection remaining. When talking with a prominent amateur evaluator recently about Scherrer recently, it was a simple “He might just rake.” and I couldn't agree more.
Navigating the high school catcher demographic is always one of the toughest evaluations in every draft class, but there always seems to be an outlier who rises to the occasion and Luke Scherrer has the profile to be that guy.
RHP Max Stanley
Douglas County (Co.)
It’s hard to have an underrated article without talking about a high-level projection arm, and Max Stanley fits that bill to a tee after making huge strides across 2022.
Hear me out, but the BYU commit offers some of the best “pitch feel” in the 2023 class. What I mean by that is Stanley is able to display a five-pitch mix with an above-average feel to spin and average or above command throughout. Two distinct different fastballs with a four-seam with both hop and late arm-side run that currently sits in the low-90s, touching 95 this past spring and a sharp, upper 80s cutter that was the separator over the summer. Two breaking balls as well for Stanley, led by an above-average 12-6 curveball with huge shape and plus command that creates current swing and miss and shows signs of being a true put-away pitch going forward. Slider has a short gyro-esque break in the low-to-mid 80s with present feel to land for both strikes and whiffs against right-handed bats. Changeup is firm, but shows promise with some arm-side fade and feel to land for strikes. It has a chance to be a really quality offering if the fastball velocity continues to trend up.
Projectability is substantial when talking about Stanley with electric arm speed and high-level athleticism evident. Exudes easy ability to get down the mound with advanced lower-half mobility and drive that allows him to repeat consistently. Standing a high-waisted 6-3, Stanley has just begun tapping into his physicality, and has the clay to grow into an imposing presence on the mound.
Case Williams (2020, COL) and Alec Willis (2021, STL) were the last two Colorado prep pitchers drafted in the Top 5 rounds, and the combination of stuff and projection that Stanley offers could push him even higher in this upcoming 2023 MLB Draft.
3B/C Trenton Lyons
Christian Brothers (Tn.)
A switch hitting, Swiss-army-knife with the highest level body projection and an SEC commitment, Trenton Lyons is one of the best players you’re not talking about.
I don’t believe there are very many players in the 2023 class, prep or college, who have the ability to project as above-average glove at catcher and another position, but I believe you can project Lyons as an everyday player at catcher, third base or either corner outfield role. An above-average athlete with a plus run tool and elite 10 yard split, the Ole Miss commit has impressive footwork and ability to move laterally both behind the plate and at third base. The 6-3, 190lb. Lyons has the arm strength to make all the throws necessary across the diamond and the accuracy to make his arm play up even more. It’s a defensive profile at 3B that could be among one of the best gloves in the class if he makes third base a long term home.
At the plate, Lyons offers a near mirror image from both sides of the plate with bat speed and ability to manipulate the barrel into an all-fields approach. That being said, It’s a slightly more direct, contact oriented approach from the right side and from the left, allows the hips to open and creates leverage, leading to above-average pull side power. The power possibilities are immense as Lyons continues to fill out with a strong baseline of above-average bat to ball skills.
I don’t know if there’s a better body to project turning extremely physical this upcoming spring than Trenton Lyons. Where he ends up defensively long term remains to be seen, but with strong offensive upside and an above-average glove, the profile is extremely conducive to an early round pick to mold.
2023 MLB Draft - Mock Draft 2.0
The 2021 and 2022 MLB Drafts were both a bit prep-heavy at the top featuring five and four preps in the Top 10 picks respectively. It was high school shortstops galore. Early projections point to 2023 being a bit heavier on the college side; generally a good sign for the health of a draft class historically speaking.