Rank History
Year | Team | Position | Team Rank | OFP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | CHC | RHP | 10 | 45 |
Grades Update: Nov 2020
OFP | Role | FB | SL | CH | Cmd/Cnt |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
45 | 40 | 60 | 50 | 30 | 40/40 |
Nov 2020 Report
Evaluator: Matt Thompson
Age: 23 yr
Height: 6-0
Weight: 180 lbs
Hits/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2019 Draft - Round 1
RuleV: 2022
Physical Description: Small, whippy frame. Would be one of the smallest starters in the majors if he sticks as a starter. Strong lower half, gets the most out of frame. Not much physical projection rema
Delivery & Mechanics: The mechanics here are high effort, lots of legs. From windup he starts with a large step back and will bend plant knee slightly with a big leg kick and long arm swing before delivering the pitch. Throws from a traditional 3/4 slot, but gives hitters, especially lefties, a long look at the ball due to the arm action. He does hold his velocity late in games.
Fastball: Jensen throws two different fastballs, a traditional 4-seamer that sits 94-96 and has touched 100. He throws a two-seamer with plus late arm-side run that sits around 93-94. The movement on his fastball has a negative effect on his ability to command a pitch. So does the high effort delivery and long arm motion. Grade: 60
Slider: Jensen has experimented with different slider grips, but from what I've seen there is a harder slider that he used more in pro ball, and an 82-85 mph version with short, late break that was mostly at Fresno St.. The harder version generates some weak swings from hitters and has touched 90. Not designed to be thrown for strikes from what I've seen. Chase pitch. Grade: 50
Changeup: Jensen's change up sits 85-86 but doesn't have much movement. He's predominantly a two-pitch guy and doesn't use this pitch much. I'm not confident it becomes an average future pitch. Grade: 30
Control and Command: I'm not very confident in Jensen's ability to consistently throw strikes, but with how modern starters are utilized I think he can make it as a starter in the majors. He has trouble repeating due to timing issues and that throws his command awry. Control: 40 | Command: 40
Overall: Jensen's profile screams reliever to me, but several Cubs contacts still think he can start long term. I don't have any info on him from the alternate camp but the organization is very high on the 2019 first rounder. There are so many things working against him remaining in the rotation but the game is changing and starting pitchers aren't asked to throw more than five innings so it's possible he makes it work in a unique hybrid role. Around 120-130 innings a year or something along those lines. Not throwing strikes leads to high pitch counts which limit innings.
OFP: 45
Role: 40 - Spot Starter
Risk: High