ACC Tournament Live Looks: Pitching Edition

What a way to end the spring season.

It’s always nice to end good things out with a bang, and as we start to transition from 2022’s class to 2023, I figured it’d be best to make my way down to Charlotte for the ACC Tournament to get an opportunity to see guys I wasn’t able to in the regular season. It turned into one of the best events I have been a part of, so in return, you will get a lot of live look notes in this one. This will be part one of a two-part mini-series, with pitchers only in this edition before a hitters edition after this. Let’s dive in.

LHP Nate Savino, Virginia

Nate Savino’s been a frustrating pitcher to gauge throughout his college career. He enrolled early at Virginia before the COVID-shortened 2020 season and seemingly lost the velocity he had in his prep days. But over the past month or so, Savino has seen a return of the velocity and he’s risen up multiple draft boards as a result. Friday continued that trend against a strong Notre Dame lineup.

Well, this is certainly a development. Nate Savino has opened this game at 93-96 with sinking life, shown off the CH 84-86, and the SL with sweep in the mid-80's, too. Certainly intriguing given he hasn't been that high since his prep days. Four whiffs on heater, too. pic.twitter.com/BhjnhDuaZT

— Tyler Jennings (@TylerJennings24) May 27, 2022

For starters, Savino’s velocity peaked at 96 MPH, comfortably sitting 93-95 MPH and doing a good job of holding it throughout his outing. It still has its signature sinking action, though he did have some trouble landing the pitch arm-side. The slider has also risen in velocity, now sitting in the mid-80’s with some sweeping action, getting some chases on pitches low and away to lefties. The change-up can be a little firm at times, and much like the fastball, struggled to land arm-side, but it’s now into the mid-80’s with some fading life when it’s not firm. Everything comes from a lower three-quarters arm slot with some deception, as well.

Went ahead and made a little collage of Nate Savino's mechanics over the years. First couple of things that I could immediately tell from prep to now is he's more upright and stiff in his movements, plus he's a bit more closed off at foot strike. pic.twitter.com/4hOW0k8aY9

— Tyler Jennings (@TylerJennings24) June 1, 2022

When it comes to figuring out Savino’s mechanics, I did a little deep dive into his history. Back in his prep days, he was more athletic in his motions. Once 2021 hit, Savino closed himself off at foot strike and became more stiff and upright, which helps explain the velocity issues he experienced. From last year to this year, Savino has begun adding more force to the ground, thanks to using his entire foot to land instead of landing on his foot laterally. He’s also able to rotate quicker with his hips, which has helped him gain the velocity back (shoutout goes to Cam Lanzilli for the help with this). With this said, there’s still projection remaining to Savino’s frame and if he keeps these new mechanics going, there’s likely more in the tank from a velocity standpoint. He’s gone from a rather pedestrian arm to having some serious intrigue to him now, and it would not shock me to see Savino get popped on Day 1 in July.

LHP Brandon Schaeffer, UNC

Brandon Schaeffer’s journey this spring has been an up-and-down affair, but if there’s ever a time to be hot, now is the perfect time for it. Much like Cardinals’ farmhand Austin Love a year ago, Schaeffer has come into his own in the month of May, extending himself in-game and giving stability to the UNC pitching staff. But what he did on Friday, against the kind of offensive juggernaut he faced and the ballpark it was hosted, was one of the most dominant performances I have seen in person.

Brandon Schaeffer has been dominant for this UNC ball club. He's sat 89-91 with his sinker and has been attacking the corners, showing off a high-spin low-80's SL and CH with fade and keeping VT hitters off-balance all game. pic.twitter.com/dw00GpDQVR

— Tyler Jennings (@TylerJennings24) May 28, 2022

Schaeffer and head coach Scott Forbes mentioned the ups and downs in the post-game presser. With Max Carlson holding down the Friday night title after his return from the bullpen, Schaeffer really embraced his role as the Saturday guy, a solid starting option behind an emerging and budding ace. But Schaeffer took it to another level against Virginia Tech, holding 88-91 the entire outing with a fastball that was seemingly untouchable. No matter where he threw it, no one could touch it. He’d throw in a high-spin, sweepy slider and a change-up with running action, but the main star of the show was that sinker of his. He threw tons of first pitch strikes and only once allowed a runner to second base. With help from his defense, as well, Schaeffer threw 72% strikes and nearly finished a “Maddux”, ultimately settling for 102 pitches. As a draft prospect, he’s more of a Day 2-Day 3 name, but he’s left quite the impression with a strong finish to the ACC slate.

LHP Bryce Hubbart, Florida State

After seeing the pitching woes that hampered Florida State against UNC, I was hoping for a big turnaround coming into Charlotte this week. What we got was a complete 180 from Hubbart against a very good Virginia lineup. Head coach Mike Martin mentioned how “twitchy” of a guy Hubbart is and how settling him down mentally helped in the turnaround and help him find some of his Cape Cod velocity.

@FSUBaseball Bryce Hubbart looks a lot better than he did against UNC on Saturday. FB 90-94 with excellent carry to it thru two, has snapped off a couple of sliders in 77-81 range with sweep. Better control today, nice to see velo up to what he was on Cape last summer, too. pic.twitter.com/9GCRGHJ6ya

— Tyler Jennings (@TylerJennings24) May 25, 2022

Against UNC, Hubbart only sat 88-91 MPH with his heater and struggled to throw strikes. Against Virginia? He found a groove early, throwing strikes and getting whiffs up in the zone thanks to excellent riding action, sitting 90-93 MPH and topping out at 94 MPH, which matches his maximum from the Cape. It was primarily fastball early, with Virginia hitters not being able to catch up to it. The slider wasn’t thrown for strikes early, but got better as the outing went along. It sat in the 77-81 MPH range with serious sweeping action and some bite to it, with high spin rates, as well. He even dropped in a couple of change-ups, which certainly got the attention of Martin in the dugout. It was a nice bounceback outing for Hubbart and he more than likely finds himself somewhere on Day 1, though likely in the second round.

LHP Carson Palmquist, Miami

This was the first time I had seen Palmquist as a starter. Last year as a reliever, it was a fun viewing. Sitting low-to-mid 90’s with his heater, tunneling the change-up, and having a slurvy breaking ball made life difficult in the box, especially with how low of a release he has. Fast forward a year later and in his new role, the velocity has not come to fruition for Palmquist. He's primarily been 89-92 MPH throughout the year, occasionally popping a 93, though he’s had bright spots as a starter.

First time seeing Carson Palmquist as a starter tonight, FB sitting 89-92 with run and showing good command east/west. CH to righties with fade, featuring SL to lefties. Only blemishes have been 2 Tommy White bombs on fastballs away. pic.twitter.com/dkn9R9rTW0

— Tyler Jennings (@TylerJennings24) May 26, 2022

The heater plays up from its velocity thanks to the characteristics of the pitch. It’ll run away from righties and he’s able to command it east/west nicely. He mainly started off 90-92 MPH, before settling in at 89-91 MPH. However, Tommy White managed to take two fastballs away and unload on them to the opposite field. The change-up is solid with fading action and mimics the fastball, tunneling nicely with the low, sidearm slot that Palmquist has. He introduced a breaking ball with more of a slider shape to it in the low-80’s, but it was mainly used against lefties and was seldom used. Ultimately, I think Palmquist becomes a reliever at the next level. With that said, Palmquist likely fits somewhere in the second to third round range.

RHP Liam Simon, Notre Dame

Liam Simon has had some ups and downs this year. Primarily a reliever coming into this year, Link Jarrett opted to start using Simon in more of a hybrid role, getting in some starts, though prior to Charlotte, the longest he had gone was four innings. Luckily for Notre Dame, Simon had his best outing of the season, keeping Virginia’s potent offense off the board across five stellar innings with eight strikeouts and just two walks.

Liam Simon has been pretty dominant today. Has been 95-98 T99 with tilt and decent command. The SL is a tight spinning breaker at 82-85 and has been getting some ugly whiffs in the left-handed box. Reliever risk, but it's some fun stuff. pic.twitter.com/pRvxl19BOj

— Tyler Jennings (@TylerJennings24) May 27, 2022

Simon is a known flame-thrower and even in the starting role, the velocity didn’t waver. Simon was consistently 95-98 MPH and reared back for 99 MPH at times, especially later in the outing, with good tilt and carry to it, while also throwing a good amount of strikes from a funky, high three-quarters slot. The slider has wipeout potential, a tight spinning breaker with nasty late bite that essentially gives away from righties. It’s tough to pick up out of the hand at times and will, more often than not, get ugly swings while being in the opposing batters box. He’ll flash a change-up, but it lags behind the dynamic FB/SL duo. The main knock on Simon is the command, he can be rather streaky with the fastball and the slider usually ends up in the opposing box. That said, there’s plenty to like about Simon in a relief role moving forward with how dynamic he can be.

LHP Chris Villaman, NC State

Before the year started, Elliott Avent made one thing clear about Villaman; he would be utilized like Evan Justice was last year. Throughout the week for NC State, Villaman was used a total of four times, throwing a total of 9.2 innings while walking just two and striking out seventeen batters, including eight in five perfect innings in the title game against UNC on Sunday.

Here's some video on Villaman. FB will sit low-90's, high spin with riding action, but he's got that CH that really makes a difference with the lack of a breaker. Kills spin, low-spin offering with sinking action and great separation from FB. 7 K's in 4 perfect innings today. pic.twitter.com/3d3Ehv6Tx3

— Tyler Jennings (@TylerJennings24) May 29, 2022

Villaman made a change to his fastball over the off-season and has become a legitimate weapon. Last year, Villaman threw more of a cutter that got into the mid-90’s, which was attributed to his cross-body motion on the mound. This year, Villaman added more riding life to the pitch with above-average spin rates and was untouchable up in the zone and Villaman could paint the corners with it. His change-up is still his best off-speed offering, a low-spin pitch that fades away from righties late and has excellent separation from the fastball. He still lacks an ability to spin a breaking ball, a fringey mid-70’s pitch that has more of a “get-me-over” feel to it, which will need to be addressed at the next level. He’s shown in the past he could start, and an organization may let him in pro ball, but he’s proven to be a potent bullpen arm and likely ends up in that role moving forward.

LHP John Michael Bertrand, Notre Dame

Bertrand is the oldest player in this piece, having turned 24 years old back in February. That said, he brings plenty of veteran presence, poise, and a great understanding of his craft to a Notre Dame squad poised to make their way to Omaha for the first time since 2002.

J.M. Bertrand has come out of the gate strong. Has been up to 94 MPH with the heater, mainly sitting 90-93. CH 82-84 with some fade, though iffy feel. SL has gotten some s/m at 82, flashed CB at 78. Pitchability lefty, struck out side in 2nd. pic.twitter.com/GzxaIpw93q

— Tyler Jennings (@TylerJennings24) May 26, 2022

While he’s primarily been in the high-80’s in most of his starts, Bertrand came out sitting 90-93 MPH with the fastball, touching 94 MPH a couple of times. He’s the pure definition of a pitchability pitcher, showcasing a solid change-up, slider, and flashing the curveball throughout the outing and keeping Florida State in check throughout. In the third and fourth innings, Bertrand ran into trouble, but used a mental reset and began pitching backwards to help get him out of the innings, which proved big for Notre Dame as they secured their spot in the semifinals. Bertrand’s command was locked in after that, allowing him to go eight innings of one-run ball.

RHP Alex McFarlane, Miami

McFarlane has been one of my favorites arms in college thanks to how stupidly good his stuff is. I remember first seeing him against UNC last year and being blown away by how quick his arm is and how potent his arsenal can be. Miami’s bullpen has a good amount of stellar arms in the back-end and he’s become a very fun set-up guy to Andrew Walters (more on him shortly).

Alex McFarlane is such an electric arm. FB with serious sink at 94-96 MPH, dynamic two-plane slider with tight spin at 85-87, flashing CH with fade at 85-86. Got roughed up a bit, but did a good job of getting out of the jam. pic.twitter.com/AUQnYK7JoN

— Tyler Jennings (@TylerJennings24) May 26, 2022

McFarlane has an insanely quick arm and a very good three-pitch mix. He reached up to 97 MPH with the heater showcasing tons of running action and sitting 94-96 MPH throughout. The slider is freakish, a dynamic two-plane breaker with tight spin and short bite in the mid-80’s that garners whiffs aplenty. The change-up has some fading action in the same velocity band as the slider, but it’s not used often. His command comes and goes and that’s ultimately what limits him from being in a larger role for Miami. More consistency will be the focal point moving forward with the kind of stuff he possesses. It would not at all shock me if McFarlane happens to move on a faster track than some once selected.

RHP Andrew Walters, Miami

If you are looking for more dominant relievers in college, Walters might be at the top of the list for you. Formerly a JUCO transfer from Eastern Florida State, Walters has been a dynamic force as Miami’s closer. He did not allow a run until late April and has limited the opposition to ten hits in thirty innings, while walking just five and running a strikeout-rate of 53%. Sources do say that this is #good.

From last night: Andrew Walters followed McFarlane, chucking 97-98 heat with carry and command. CB sat 81-82 with depth and bite, commanded down and away to righties. Has been one of the most dominant relievers in college baseball this year. pic.twitter.com/uZG62o87vE

— Tyler Jennings (@TylerJennings24) May 26, 2022

With Walters, he could be classified as more of a “one-pitch” guy. Everything really lives and dies by the fastball. He matches plane at the bottom of the zone well and is still able to get good carry up in the zone. He sat 97-98 MPH with good command, pitching inside often and doing a good job of limiting hard contact. While he throws the curveball hard, sitting in the low-80’s, it’s seldom used. That said, Walters is able to limit righties with the breaker, which has some depth and bite to it. He’s got deception in his delivery, hiding the ball well, as well as having excellent extension and spin on the heater to make it difficult to hit. He likely will be selected in the top five rounds come July and would rise up the ranks relatively quickly given the stuff and command he possesses.

Other noteworthy arms: max carlson (UNC), zach maxwell (GT), mack anglin (clemson), wyatt crowell (FSU), alex rao (ND), rhett lowder (WF)

Live Looks: The Will Hoefer Edition

I might as well be paying rent at the backfields these days. It’s been quite a month. Let’s review.

RHP Sam Horn, Collins Hill (GA)

Date(s) seen: 4/18

A gaggle of scouts were in attendance on a chilly Monday evening to see Horn throw in his final Spring start. Despite an uneven performance and lofty hit and run totals (the defense behind Horn did little favors), there were plenty of positives to takeaway from the Mizzou QB commit’s outing. Horn has a projectable 6’4” 200 lb. build and pitches with a clean arm path, utilizing minimal amounts of effort to get to his low 90s velocity. The fastball sat at that range all evening and touched 94 and 95 early on, with plenty of arm side run and carrying action. The slider was 79-81 MPH with good feel for spin and strong vertical depth, showed potential for development into a plus pitch. Sprinkled in a few mid 80s changeups that were firm but showed potential with good tailing action, as well as a looping mid 70s curveball that appeared to be a work in progress. Command was a bugaboo early on, as Horn is learning to pitch with his stuff and left his fastball and slider over the middle to catch barrels. He found his spots with more regularity late and racked up double digit whiffs with both pitches. On talent alone he’s a million dollar arm, but commitment to play quarterback at an SEC program leaves some to believe that he might be done with pitching.

RF Colby Thomas, Mercer

Date(s) seen: 4/19

Mercer ventured up I-75 for a midweek matchup against Georgia Tech on April 19th, and Colby Thomas was the main attraction for the evaluators in attendance. The Bears’ right fielder guarded against sliders all night and was late on fastballs as a result. His hands will loop out at times and expose him inside, but he did a good job staying inside on a fastball running in and found the barrel going the other way. Did make solid contact on hanging slider, but the good ones got chases with poor results. Thomas looked solid in RF without much in the way of being challenged, showed good arm strength. Tools are as loud as prep days and he has gotten stronger, but determination on how well he can make adjustments to sliders in his developmental process will shape his draft stock.

SS Chandler Pollard, Woodward Academy (GA)

Date(s) seen: 4/21, 4/28

Chandler Pollard continued to demonstrate his impressive toolset in a couple of late season looks, showcasing good raw power on mistakes over the middle and running wild on opposing batteries in the likely event he gets on base. Hitterish traits were also on display, with quick twitch and strong wrists allowing him to adjust to well located pitches and generate good contact. In the field, there’s bounce and soft hands that typically allow him to range and handle a wide spectrum of opportunities, and his footwork on throws is improving as you’d hope with more reps.

RHP Marcus Johnson, Duke

Date(s) seen: 4/22

Johnson got the ball on Friday night for Duke in their series opener vs. the Yellow Jackets, and battled through some command issues to give his team five innings of work. The large and lean framed right hander works from a high 3Q armslot with a clean arm and plenty of tempo. The fastball sat in the low 90s all game and touched 94 early on, with plenty of running life. Worked best in on the hands of Georgia Tech’s right handed hitters for called strikes and weak contact, couldn’t get chases at the top of the zone. Worked off of the heater with a low 80s slider and mid 80s changeup. The slider had decent bite and could get whiffs when located low; mistakes left up were hit hard. Changeup had above average depth and flashed plus with fall off the table late drop, commanded well all night and was the go to pitch. Johnson’s feel for spin and athleticism make him very interesting clay, but progression with command to the edges is vital for his future as a starter.

3B Drew Compton, Georgia Tech

Date(s) seen: 4/22, 4/29, 4/30

Compton has really been able to showcase how loud his bat can be as of late, as he’s been doing big damage on fastballs and drove in five runs--including the game winner--in Tech’s 12-11 extra inning win over Duke. He does struggle with changeups and there’s some ambiguity on whether or not his long term home is third base, but the combination of power production, contact skills, and switch hitting flexibility gives Tech’s middle-of-the-order slugger a solid offensive floor in this draft class.

RHP Blake Gillespie, Next Level Academy (GA)

Date(s) seen: 4/26

Pitching in Academy Prospect League out at East Cobb, Blake Gillespie went out and handled business like you would expect against an overmatched Citadels lineup--throwing four scoreless innings with ten strikeouts. Gillespie’s frame is a bit smaller than the median prep pitching prospect at 6’1”, but projects to add strength with a presently lean build and high waist. Arm action is shorter but with some stiffness, doesn't exert much effort to get to velo and consistently held low 90s throughout outing. Fastball was 89-92 T93 MPH, primarily two seamer with good tail with some four seamers early with solid carry---spins both well and efficiently. Curveball was mid 70s with tight 11-5 vertical break, average to above average pitch.. Like the fastball, it got whiffs with regularity throughout outing. Flashed low 80s changeup with good depth but intermittent feel the table drop, as well as a singular 81 MPH slider with Julio Teheran style lateral movement. Worked both sides of a fairly wide zone, a few curveballs weren't finished but generally landed his pitches all outing.

LHP Carson Palmquist, Miami (FL)

Date(s) seen: 4/29

Palmquist is a lean lefty with physical characteristics--primarily sloped shoulders--that suggest he will continue to add strength in his developmental path. Clean arm, distributes his weight well in repeatable delivery that's not easy to repeat unless you're strong in your core and lower half. Low 3Q delivery that borders on sidearm. Head stays on target, some effort to velo. Fastball sat 88-91 T92 MPH, lots of arm side run and locates to both sides of the plate. Occasional miss over the middle will get driven, but is otherwise a groundball and broken bat machine. Will go upstairs when he needs to and can get whiffs due to flat VAA. Changeup was 79-82 with loads of run and tunnels well off FB when he's locating. Tonight that was an issue, and while there were some good ones thrown that got weak contact Palmquist never found his CH command. Slider is a sweepy mid 70s breaker that lacks sharpness at times, but creates a really uncomfortable look for LHH due to how far it starts out and how much lateral break it has. Awkward swings and takes in the zone from Tech lefties, and did finish under barrels late for whiffs. Command was a mixed bag; couldn't find his good changeup and a handful of mistakes with the cambio and fastball were punished by GT hitters. Worked fastball down to get quick groundball outs against the bottom of the order, really helped him get through seven innings without his best pitch.

RHP Alex McFarlane, Miami (FL)

Date(s) Seen: 4/30

Big frame, lean and high waisted. Works from lower 3Q armslot with some effort to get to velo. Fastball sat at 95-97 MPH and touched 98 on two occasions. True turbo sinker that is hard to elevate when he can locate below the beltline. Slider was 85-88 with short but sharp bite, good total movement and shape for that velocity band. In this single inning relief role, the arsenal flashes plus and can operate with more general command into the bottom half of the strike zone. Real late inning upside with additional development.

RHP Zach Maxwell, Georgia Tech
Date(s) Seen: 4/22, 4/29, 4/30

Maxwell was moved back into a relief role about a month and a half ago, and has regained a few extra ticks on his fastball and slider in the process. Over my looks in April, Maxwell sat 95-98 with its usual high carry shape, touching 99 against Duke and 100 vs. Miami. The velocity plays up its whiff potential, though even at the ACC level it does get hit on occasion when Maxwell leaves it below the letters. The slider appears to have been tinkered with a bit in his last appearance, as it was up from 84-87 MPH to 87-90 MPH, with noticeably sharper vertical movement. It’s something to keep an eye on in May for Georgia Tech’s stopper, who has some of the best pure ability to spin both fastballs and breaking balls in this draft class.

Quick followups on Georgia Tech hitters from last set of notes that keep hitting

2B Chandler Simpson, Georgia Tech

Date(s) Seen: 4/22, 4/29, 4/30

Simpson showcased his innate ability to get the bathead out on about any pitch he offers at--even ones where he was fooled. A huge on base threat with blazing speed to take extra bases when the opportunity presents itself. Really good range and hands up the middle, but throwing issues have saddled him to second base for the time being. With that said, he still projects to be a valuable defensive asset there, and offers a high offensive floor with his potent combination of contact skills, plate discipline and easy 70 grade speed.

C Kevin Parada, Georgia Tech

Date(s) Seen: 4/22, 4/29, 4/30

Parada continues to demonstrate an elite ability to do damage on a full gamut of pitches in any part of the strike zone--punctuated by no doubt home runs off of Carson Palmquist and Karson Ligon this past weekend. Having some rougher outings behind the plate--particularly with throwing accuracy--but athleticism is still encouraging for development and bat plays at any spot on the defensive spectrum. 

1B Andrew Jenkins, Georgia Tech

Date(s) Seen: 4/22, 4/29, 4/30

Jenkins has shown better defensive chops as of late at first base, with improved hands to take advantage of his advanced range at the position. The Yellow Jackets’ three hole hitter has had struggles against good sliders, but shows an ability to adjust in later plate appearances and does big time damage on fastballs and changeups. Some of the best realized game power in the draft class, and could offer really good value to a team that can help him make an adjustment to recognize sliders earlier in his swing process.