The State of Georgia: 2024 Georgia MLB Draft Outlook

60 FV tier

3B/OF Charlie Condon, University of Georgia

Hit: 55, Game Power: 70, Glove: 50, Arm: 60, Run: 45

Has done nothing but hit bombs, rockets and missiles at UGA. Top end bat speed, juice to all fields on the strength of double plus barrel feel. Plus understanding of the strike zone, vulnerable to sharp breaking stuff but can nut up in two strike counts. Average range and first step at 3B, zips the ball across the diamond. Posts fringe to average run times to 1B. Should have Kris Bryant/Brian Anderson style defensive versatility going between 3B and OF corner, with Bryant-esque offensive production. Elite draft talent, should get the largest bonus in the 2025 class.

45+ FV tier

RHP Jackson Barberi, Brookwood HS

Fastball: 60, Slider: 60, Changeup: 55, Cutter: 50, Command: 50

Long and loose RHP, whippy arm from 3Q slot. Decent mover, average to above avg. athlete. Fastball at its peak sits 92-95 touching 96-97, above average carry with low release height creating plus plane. Low 80s slider is consistently snappy, but will guide it with his arm when he tires. Mid 80s changeup has above average fade that breaks off the fastball plane late. Will mix in a cutter at 87-88 that has sharp break but lacks conviction at this stage. Projects to have starting caliber command of his arsenal. #2 starter upside if he gets more consistent with his breaking balls and continues to develop his changeup. Fits comfortably in the 2nd round, could sneak into the comp.


40+ FV Tier

SS Erik Parker, North Gwinnett HS

Hit: 55, Game Power: 50, Glove: 55, Arm: 55, Run: 50

Big body, prototypical frame and build for big league shortstop. Quick trigger, line drive oriented swing that can put the ball over the fence on occasion. Aggressive to a fault early and in the summer, settled in as spring went along and showed patience and aggression on his pitch. Pull side home run power now, projectable body should add more strength and allow him to be a threat to all fields. Above average runner at present, will likely slow down a bit to average at full maturation. Above average arm strength and range, smooth actions all around at the shortstop position and projects to stick there at highest level. Bounty of average to above average tools that can carry a big league profile, but lacks a plus carrying tool to get into the top 50 picks.


CF Terrence Kiel II, Pace Academy

Hit: 55, Game Power: 45, Glove: 55, Arm: 55, Run: 70

Medium sized frame, strong at present and possesses necessary physicality for professional baseball. Above average bat speed, hands are a bit indirect in his regular right handed swing. In 2 strike counts and in sparing looks from the left side, his hands work straight to the ball. As a result, his standard swing has more power, but his shorter swing has more barrel feel. Routinely posts 70 grade run times home to first. Defensively, he covers a lot of ground in center field and glides towards the ball, and should be plenty capable of handling it at the major league level. High level athleticism, feel for hitting and potential as a switch hitter gets him into 2nd-3rd round conversations.



40 FV Tier

2B/OF Rustan Rigdon, Metter HS

Hit: 60, Game Power: 50, Glove: 45, Arm: 45, Run: 50

Smooth swing from both sides of the plate with above average bat speed, finds barrels often against the full gamut of summer and spring high school pitching. Pullside power from both sides, able to elevate and backspin the ball well. Elbow injury raises questions about long term defensive home, showed average range and arm strength at middle infield positions during the summer. Incredibly determined kid, played center field in the spring by throwing with his left hand. Showed potential for defensive utility there down the road, but long term plan of development should be at second base once his right elbow heals. Uncertainty about defensive ability bumps him into 3rd to 4th round consideration. 

C Chase Fralick, McIntosh HS

Hit: 50, Game Power: 60, Glove: 45, Arm: 50, Run: 30

Really whippy bat from the left side, drives balls hard to center and right field. Capable of driving pitches that he’s fooled on, advanced barrel feel. Vulnerable to elevated fastballs, wants to get the barrel out in front and do damage. Possesses above average arm strength, but is slow to get out of the crouch and plays down when in game scenarios. Shows average ability to receive and block out of the one knee stance. Fralick’s grown man strength, summer track record and flashes of an advanced hit tool fit best around the 4th and 5th rounds, with some upward mobility if a team is confident about improving his receiving and footwork behind the plate.


RHP Nate Taylor, Buford HS

Fastball: 55, Slider: 60, Command: 50

Physical build at 6-2, 210 lbs. Rhythmic and loose with plus arm speed. High 3Q slot, moving great downmound. Some room on frame to add strength, athletic ability aids projection. Fastball is 88-93 touching 94 with above average carry life, slider at 80-86 with plus snap and vertical break. Shows changeup on occasion but most looks come during warmups, decent armside fade and low feel at this stage of his development. Strong command of his fastball and slider, even when arm speed and stuff was down early in the spring. Mid rotation starter upside, fits around the 4th-5th round in a standard draft.

C Levi Clark, Walton HS

Hit: 50, Game Power: 60, Glove: 40, Arm: 50, Run: 30

Big body that has matured early, low projection remaining. Plus bat speed and creates great stretch in his swing. When he finds the barrel, there’s significant impact behind it. Has been vulnerable against high fastballs due to the length of his swing, but is able to shorten up and defend in two strike counts--without sacrificing significant power. Strong arm behind the plate, inconsistent ability to get to it and struggles with receiving and blocking. Likely a 1B at the end of his development pattern, but as with most HS catchers it’s a fool’s errand to run anyone off the position given how variable the defensive outcomes are. Fits around round 5.

 

LHP Charlie Foster, Brookwood HS

Fastball: 50, Slider: 50, Changeup: 55, Command: 55

Large body with high projection. Loose arm, medium effort. Above avg. athlete, moves well. Strong torso rotation. Fastball was up 90-93 early in two to three inning stints, but as a starter he settled into 88-91. Smooth mechanics, command of all three of his pitches. Slurvy breaking ball at 76-78, intermittent sharpness that flashes above average. Changeup in the low 80s shows consistent above average depth. Shows command of all three pitches, recent recommitment to Mississippi State has reopened his draft market. Epitome of a projection lefty, stuff just isn’t quite at the level of his prep draft peers. Grades out as a 5th rounder, but could go up a round or two if a bidding war ensures.


35+ FV Tier

1B/DH Corey Collins, University of Georgia

Hit: 45, Game Power: 55, Glove: 40, Arm: 50, Run: 30

Compact stance with plus bat speed and plus raw power, length has caused issues with breaking stuff throughout his tenure at UGA. Has tamed some swing and miss and gotten to more of that raw power, high level performer that is rivaled by few in college baseball this Spring. Lacks the glove to play at catcher or an outfield corner, likely a 1B/DH type throughout his pro career. Top senior sign candidate, mid day 2 value that could be pushed up to accommodate draft pool budgets. 

3B Cade Brown, Parkview HS

Hit: 50, Game Power: 60, Glove: 45, Arm: 50, Run: 40

Stout frame, minimal projection remaining on body. Big bat speed, fastest amongst GA high school bats in this class. Has a knack for finding the barrel, can go out to all fields and puts balls in places that most kids dream about. Relatively agile for his size, can post average run times and shows average twitch at 3B. Has a decent shot to stick at the hot corner, but hard to say how much offensive growth occurred over the Spring based on middling summer performance. Will get the most out of his raw talent, fits around the 5th to 6th rounds.

RHP Cole Royer, Pierce County HS

Fastball: 50, Curveball: 60, Slider: 50, Command: 45

Extra large frame, lean and high waisted. Plus arm speed and above average mover, high projection. Fastball sits around 89-93 with above average arm side run, primary breaking ball is a 76-80 MPH curveball with plus vertical break and snap late off his fastball plane. Mixes in a 81-83 MPH slider that flashed above average bite, but shows it rarely in games and is mostly comfortable with a fastball+curveball approach at this stage. Command of offerings is developing, Royer is slow in his gather phase then his hips fire quickly with his arm coming behind it. Fastball command is scattershot and breaking balls can back up on him, consistent repetitions and athleticism will be key to grow into his body and mechanics. A long term projection project with mid rotation starter upside, 5th to 6th round value right now.


CF Bo Walker, Starr’s Mill HS

Hit: 40, Game Power: 55, Glove: 50, Arm: 50, Run: 60

Big body, present physicality. Drops hands and creates big stretch at footplant, if he finds the barrel the ball will disappear over the left field wall. Long swing path creates issues with catching up to velocity and pitchers that can effectively mix. Tantalizing combination of plus raw power and plus run creates intrigue as a prep. Should be able to handle CF, flashes above average arm in game settings with plus arm strength. Tool bet in the 4th to 5th round for some teams, lackluster hit tool could take him out of conversations for others.


SS AJ Abernathy, North Cobb HS

Hit: 45, Game Power: 40, Glove: 55, Arm: 50, Run: 70

Smaller body that has some room for muscle, but shouldn’t be sacrificing speed for strength if he can help it. Flat planed swing, can really carry the ball despite light impact in bat overall. True 70 grade runner, changes games with his legs. Inconsistent with his ability to read spin, can often be late on the fastball. Has above average arm strength despite small stature, can throw some sinkers to 1B but has enough to stick at shortstop in conjunction with smooth actions, soft hands and above average range. Mid day 2 value, possibility of going earlier if teams believe they have a true shortstop that can get more hit out of.


35 FV Tier

SS Kolby Branch, University of Georgia

Hit: 50, Game Power: 45, Glove: 50, Arm: 50, Run: 50

Transfer from Baylor, smallish medium frame that has requisite arm strength, bounce and hands to handle shortstop, but is unlikely to make an impact there on defense. Above average bat speed, can handle fastballs and has pullside home run power, but will run into struggles with secondaries. Chance to develop into a first division starter up the middle, but more than likely settles into a utility/bench role at the highest level. Mid to late Day 2 value.

RHP Blake Aita, Kennesaw State University

Fastball: 45, Cutter: 60, Slider: 55, Command: 50

Large frame, low to medium projection. H3Q slot, arm works. Medium effort with head whack. Fastball sits in the low 90s with average 4S plane, above average carry. Slider averages in the low 80s with consistent above average sweep. Cutter in the mid to high 80s has plus bite, difference making pitch that was added in the fall. Shows a changeup that rolls off the hand in warmups, not mandatory to stick as a starter but further development would go a long way. Above average ability to throw fastball for strikes, average command as some leak into the middle of the zone. Will occasionally overcook cutters, shows an ability to pitch backwards and in plus counts with the slider--and locate it. #4 starter upside, cutter heavy relief role is the floor. 6th to 8th round value.

SS Peyton Green, Georgia Tech

Hit: 45, Game Power: 50, Glove: 50, Arm: 55, Run: 50

Big bodied and lean, prototypical shortstop build. Shows average lateral range and above average arm strength at SS, should be able to handle himself there as a pro. Some length to swing, above average bat speed. Can hit the fastball and does fine vs. breaking stuff, has struggled against changeups. Profiles on the left side of the infield and can produce in a part time role for a 1st division team or be a 2nd division regular. 6th to 8th round value.


RHP Conrad Cason, Greater Atlanta Christian HS

Fastball: 60, Splitter: 50, Curveball: 40, Command: 45

Long and lean frame, works out of high 3Q slot and has a repeatable, downhill delivery. Arm length has caused command issues, will need to tap into his plus athletic ability to shore up that concern. Fastball sits around 92-96 and will touch 97-98 with above average cut life, doesn’t miss as many bats as you would expect. Splitter in the low to mid 80s shows flashes of above average dive, but feel for it is still developing and break profile is inconsistent. Will occasionally go to a high 70s curveball that’s lacking in break and sharpness. Lot of work to be done, but arm talent and athleticism leads you to dream on a #2-#3 starter, but there’s tons of risk as well. Mid day 2 value with high variance.

RHP Dane Moehler, Walton HS

Fastball: 45, Slider: 55, Changeup: 55, Curveball: 50, Command: 55

Long and loose righty, athletic with repeatable mechanics. Bet to add stuff at some point down the line. Blend of fastball at 88-91, four seam has above average carry and two seam has above average sink. High 70s to low 80s slider has above average depth and sharpness, low 80s changeup has above average fade. Curveball at 73-76 shows average depth and is developed enough to differentiate from slider. Command is very sharp for his age, routinely hits his spots with fastballs and lands his secondaries in good places. Stuff never really upticked from his summer performances, mid to late Day 2 value.


CF Michael Mullinax, North Cobb Christian HS

Hit: 45, Game Power: 50, Glove: 50, Arm: 50, Run: 60

Medium body, fair bit of projection remaining. Very awkward swing path from both sides over the summer that he worked to get shorter and more fluid in the Spring, a work in progress but his prognosis to hit has improved. Above average raw power that he shows an ability to get to from the left side. Above average to plus arm strength, but big winding over the top arm action causes a lot of missed targets and plays it down to average in games. Posts plus home to first times and routinely impacts the running game. Everyday centerfielder ceiling, but definitely a project at this stage. 6th to 8th round value.



30+ FV Tier

RHP Alex Hernandez, Forsyth Central HS

Fastball: 50, Slider: 55, Changeup: 50, Command: 40


SS Bryce Clavon, Kell HS

Hit: 40, Game Power: 45, Glove: 45, Arm: 50, Run: 60


RHP Jordan Stephens, Abraham Baldwin Agricultural College

Fastball: 55, Slider: 50, Changeup: 40, Command: 40


RHP Clinton Harris, Brookwood HS

Fastball: 50, Splitter: 55, Curveball: 45, Command: 35


RHP Thorpe Musci, Parkview HS

Fastball: 50, Curveball: 50, Changeup: 50, Command: 40


RHP Logan McGuire, Georgia Tech

Fastball: 45, Changeup: 55, Slider: 40, Command: 45


LHP Camron Hill, Georgia Tech

Fastball: 45, Slider: 50, Changeup: 50, Splitter: 50, Command: 40


2B/3B/OF Slate Alford, University of Georgia

Hit: 40, Game Power: 55, Glove: 40, Arm: 50, Run: 30