Brandon Smith and Tyler Jennings got looks at the likes of Trey Dombrowski, Florida State’s premier arms, and a focus on Wake Forest’s 2023 prospects.
Fringe (College) Five: Week of 5/23
Before becoming a member of the Toronto Blue Jays front office, Carson Cistulli was one of the more prominent and influential writers at Fangraphs. Carson’s work at Fangraphs was always insightful and usually good for at least a few laugh-out-loud quips or observations. My favorite piece from Carson was the ‘Fringe Five: Baseball’s Most Compelling Fringe Prospects ’ series, which sought to highlight under-the-radar professional prospects. Cistulli had a good deal of success pinpointing prospects for the ‘Fringe Five’ with prospects like LaMonte Wade, David Fletcher, and Jonathan Loaisiga being just a few examples.
One of my favorite aspects of the draft is the pursuit of finding talent outside of the early rounds. The first couple of rounds understandably receives the most attention from fans, the media, and the industry. Still, my favorite portion of the draft doesn’t start until about halfway through day two. Because of this, I felt that a college baseball version of the ‘Fringe Five’ would be a great way to shed some light on draft-eligible players that pique my interest and who I believe draft hounds ought to know. I intend to use available data, game footage, and live looks/scouting reports to fill my fringe five lists. The criteria for inclusion are as follows:
Must be eligible for the 2022 MLB Draft
Must play at the Division 1 College Level
Can’t be included on the current Prospects Live Draft Board.
Pretty simple, right? Because the Prospects Live draft board will grow as we approach draft day, any added players to the board will be ineligible for future ‘Fringe Five’ pieces.
*All stat lines should be accurate as of 5/16/22
Chuck Ingram, OF, Wichita State
Bats/Throw: Right / Right
Height/Weight: 6-0 / 210
Year/Draft Age: Sophomore / 20.11
The numbers don’t lie. Ingram strikes out way too much as over 25% of his plate appearances have ended in a K. He whiffs often and chases out of the zone at a very high rate. Ingram performs much better against fastballs than offspeed (identifying spin looks to be a real issue), but the whiff and chase rates on heaters are still relatively high. So why do I include him? Well, it turns out that Ingram hits the ball hard. Like really hard.
That ball went 114 MPH and traveled 420 feet on a line to Ingram’s pull side. Ingram’s max exit velocity this year is 116 MPH. That is ELITE level power. Power isn’t everything, and the holes in his offensive game are a reason for concern. He’s currently a centerfielder for the Shockers but likely slides to a corner as a pro. Working in Ingram’s favor is that he’s young for the class (20.11 years old on draft day) as a draft-eligible sophomore. Ingram had less than 100 college plate appearances before this season, so there could be some untapped growth as he matures as a hitter. It might take another college campaign for teams to hop on board fully. Still, we’ve seen college sluggers like Ivan Melendez significantly improve their whiff and K rates after returning to campus. It may be worth it for a team to ‘jump the line’ and bet on the power carrying the profile in pro ball.
Blake Rambusch, 3B, Auburn
Bats/Throw: Right / Right
Height/Weight: 5-9 / 175
Year/Draft Age: Fourth-Year Junior / 22.10
Blake Rambusch is close to the polar opposite of Chuck Ingram. He’s not punchless, but Rambusch drives his offensive profile with the ability to control the strike zone and make a high rate of contact. A junior college transfer from Grayson College, Rambusch has been a perfect table setter at the top of Auburn’s lineup. He’s a high-energy player that provides a spark on both sides of the ball. He’s been Auburn’s everyday third baseman but profiles better as a second baseman at the next level. Rambusch is undersized at 5’9, but he runs well and is an intelligent ball player who makes the most out of his tools. A utility profile is likely in Rambusch’s pro future.
Rambusch’s defining characteristic is his ability to get the bat to the ball. His whiff rate is below 10% on the year, and his whiff rate on fastballs is below 5%. On top of the superb bat-to-ball ability, Rambusch has displayed an extremely patient approach and above-average chase rates this season. A considerable percentage of Rambusch’s batted balls are up the middle and the opposite way making it difficult to project much game power without a swing change. Rambusch has shown the ability to cover the entire strike zone and find the barrel consistently. He’ll be close to 23 years old on draft day, but his age and SEC performance could make him an appealing underslot signing towards the back half of the top ten rounds.
Dalton Shuffield, SS, Texas State
Bats/Throw: Right / Right
Height/Weight: 5’9 / 170
Year/Draft Age: Fifth-Year Senior / 23.03
Shuffield has been a solid contributor throughout his college career but has taken his game to a new level in 2022. He’s been named Sun Belt player of the week three times and is likely the frontrunner to win SBC player of the year. Shuffield has that old-school, college grinder profile that wins you with his energy and intensity on the diamond. Shuffield’s setup and swing at the plate are unorthodox. Potential first-rounder Zach Neto is one of the funkier hitters in college baseball, but his swing looks toned down compared to Shuffield.
Whatever the case, Shuffield makes the swing work. He can cover the outside part of the plate well and has enough raw pop to drive the ball over the fence to the opposite field. A good chunk of his extra base hits has gone the opposite way, including four of his twelve homers. Shuffield has also shown to be capable of covering the inner portion of the plate and is tough to beat inside consistently. Despite his size, Shuffield has recorded strong exit velocity readings. He also hits a high percentage of fly balls, over 45%. His contact rate has been a strength, with solid contact rates against good velocity (93+ MPH) in a small sample. Shuffield tends to chase offspeed pitches down and out of the zone. Shuffield may have difficulty maintaining balance against quality secondary pitches with the amount of moving parts in his swing. Still, Shuffield has shown in-game power while flashing the ability to handle velocity. That skill combination is not all that common for college middle infielders that project to last later into the draft.
Shuffield is a solid runner with home-to-first times ranging from plus to average. Shuffield’s instincts on defense are above average, and he shows slick actions at shortstop. He’s adept at going back on popups and offers good range up the middle. He has sufficient raw arm strength but may not have the arm utility necessary to stick at shortstop in the pros. I saw Shuffield turn an impressive double play with excellent footwork and a quick transfer at second base, which provided some confidence that he’d fit well at second base long term. As with Blake Rambusch, Shuffield profiles best as a utility player. At 23 years old, the draft ceiling is limited, but he looks like an appealing “senior discount” target on paper. Those players tend to get snatched up in the 7-10 round range.
Dylan Tebrake drew me in last summer during the MLB Draft League. After two years in Creighton’s weekend rotation, Tebrake pitched out of the pen for the Frederick Keys and showed off some extra zip on his fastball and slider. Tebrake (pronounced Tah-Brock) had a solid start as a returning member of the Blue Jay rotation, but he’s gotten stronger over the past couple of months. His fastball and slider have seen meaningful gains in velocity and spin rate. Tebrake’s high spin fastball (2,300-2,400+ RPM) has ticked up to 92-94 MPH and has touched 95 and 96. The pitch is lively and has late arm-side running action. Tebrake’s slider is the money pitch. He racks up most of his whiffs and K’s on the slider, which shows above-average velocity in the 85-89 MPH range. The pitch is tough for hitters to pick up with late and tight spin (2,700-2,900 RPM, 3,000+ max). Tebrake tunnels the fastball and slider effectively. The fastball has late running movement to his arm side, and the slider breaks late in the opposite direction. He has developed a real knack for locating the slider away from righties, targeting that outer edge of the plate. Tebrake flashed both a usable curveball and changeup in the past to complete a four-pitch mix. But he’s been able to rely on the fastball and slider during his recent run of success. He will throw a breaking ball with a more vertical shape to lefties that is also capable of getting whiffs as a chase pitch below the strike zone. Examples of the fastball and both breakers are below:
Tebrake’s last two starts have been particularly spicy. He’s gone the distance in back-to-back starts while allowing just four earned runs and striking out 28. Tebrake set a Creighton record with 15 strikeouts in his last start versus Butler.
Another thing you should know about Dylan Tebrake is he’s kind of a psycho on the mound. And I mean that in the most flattering way possible.
Tebrake’s up-tempo and higher effort mechanics are better suited for the pen. He’ll lose the strike zone, but he has gotten much better at getting back on track and avoiding the big inning. We’ve already seen his stuff tick up in the pen before, and it wouldn’t surprise me if it happened again in the pros. Tebrake is older for the 2022 college class but is an intriguing sleeper pick for the middle rounds (rounds 5+) on day two of the draft.
Zeke Wood, RHP, Texas State
Height/Weight: 6-4 /210
Year/Draft Age: Fourth-Year Junior / 22.04
Wood was someone that caught my attention after back-to-back dominant starts to open the season against Utah Valley and Ohio State. Wood is a well-built righty with good size and a solid upper half. He works from a very high, over-the-top arm slot, creating a tough angle for hitters. Wood lives and dies with the fastball, which shows flat plane when thrown above the belt and sink/run when thrown low and to his arm side.
Wood goes to the fastball often, with usage rates above 70%-80% in many of his outings. The fastball is a high spinner, routinely in the 2,500-2,600 RPM range, with velocity that sits 93-95 MPH and topping out at 96 MPH early before dropping into the 91-93 MPH range during the later innings. Wood’s heater can generate whiffs and weak contact when located effectively. He generates a ton of weak popups and infield fly balls which helps explain why he’s been able to limit hitters to a .165 average. Wood mixes in a couple of secondaries with a slider and changeup. The slider has an inconsistent slurvy shape and is currently more of a change of pace type pitch. The changeup shows more potential and will flash fading action and late horizontal movement. There isn’t a ton of consistency with the changeup, but there’s potential for an above-average pitch with further development and usage.
Wood’s ability to consistently command his fastball is not pristine. The fastball command and velocity have trended downward lately, which could be a sign that he's running out of gas. Wood’s below-average command and limited pitch mix point toward a future in the bullpen. That may not seem overly exciting from a 22+-year-old arm, but we’ve seen plenty of college starters with unique but flawed profiles serve meaningful roles for pro teams. Wood is likely a late day two or day three draft arm with some growth potential despite his age. A bullpen aided velocity/command boost and focusing on developing a dependable secondary could turn Wood into a legitimate relief prospect. Last year, we saw this with a Texas State arm in 16th rounder Zachary Leigh.
Harris Yudin's Live Looks: UNC-Florida State, 5/19
MLB Draft Live Looks: Rocky Top Fun
Brian Recca's Live Looks: 5/17/2022
2022 MLB Draft - Top 500 Prospects
This Top 500 really reinforces a few things we’ve always believed… Druw Jones, for us, is a cut above the rest. College hitters are good. Really good. And deep. The high school pitching in this class has the potential to be one of the stronger groups in recent memory. Where do we currently have Termarr Johnson, Druw Jones, Jackson Holliday, and Elijah Green currently ranked? What about Chase DeLauter, Brooks Lee, Kumar Rocker, Jace Jung and others?
MLB Draft MailBag - 5/5/2022
Live Looks: The Will Hoefer Edition
I might as well be paying rent at the backfields these days. It’s been quite a month. Let’s review.
RHP Sam Horn, Collins Hill (GA)
Date(s) seen: 4/18
A gaggle of scouts were in attendance on a chilly Monday evening to see Horn throw in his final Spring start. Despite an uneven performance and lofty hit and run totals (the defense behind Horn did little favors), there were plenty of positives to takeaway from the Mizzou QB commit’s outing. Horn has a projectable 6’4” 200 lb. build and pitches with a clean arm path, utilizing minimal amounts of effort to get to his low 90s velocity. The fastball sat at that range all evening and touched 94 and 95 early on, with plenty of arm side run and carrying action. The slider was 79-81 MPH with good feel for spin and strong vertical depth, showed potential for development into a plus pitch. Sprinkled in a few mid 80s changeups that were firm but showed potential with good tailing action, as well as a looping mid 70s curveball that appeared to be a work in progress. Command was a bugaboo early on, as Horn is learning to pitch with his stuff and left his fastball and slider over the middle to catch barrels. He found his spots with more regularity late and racked up double digit whiffs with both pitches. On talent alone he’s a million dollar arm, but commitment to play quarterback at an SEC program leaves some to believe that he might be done with pitching.
RF Colby Thomas, Mercer
Date(s) seen: 4/19
Mercer ventured up I-75 for a midweek matchup against Georgia Tech on April 19th, and Colby Thomas was the main attraction for the evaluators in attendance. The Bears’ right fielder guarded against sliders all night and was late on fastballs as a result. His hands will loop out at times and expose him inside, but he did a good job staying inside on a fastball running in and found the barrel going the other way. Did make solid contact on hanging slider, but the good ones got chases with poor results. Thomas looked solid in RF without much in the way of being challenged, showed good arm strength. Tools are as loud as prep days and he has gotten stronger, but determination on how well he can make adjustments to sliders in his developmental process will shape his draft stock.
SS Chandler Pollard, Woodward Academy (GA)
Date(s) seen: 4/21, 4/28
Chandler Pollard continued to demonstrate his impressive toolset in a couple of late season looks, showcasing good raw power on mistakes over the middle and running wild on opposing batteries in the likely event he gets on base. Hitterish traits were also on display, with quick twitch and strong wrists allowing him to adjust to well located pitches and generate good contact. In the field, there’s bounce and soft hands that typically allow him to range and handle a wide spectrum of opportunities, and his footwork on throws is improving as you’d hope with more reps.
RHP Marcus Johnson, Duke
Date(s) seen: 4/22
Johnson got the ball on Friday night for Duke in their series opener vs. the Yellow Jackets, and battled through some command issues to give his team five innings of work. The large and lean framed right hander works from a high 3Q armslot with a clean arm and plenty of tempo. The fastball sat in the low 90s all game and touched 94 early on, with plenty of running life. Worked best in on the hands of Georgia Tech’s right handed hitters for called strikes and weak contact, couldn’t get chases at the top of the zone. Worked off of the heater with a low 80s slider and mid 80s changeup. The slider had decent bite and could get whiffs when located low; mistakes left up were hit hard. Changeup had above average depth and flashed plus with fall off the table late drop, commanded well all night and was the go to pitch. Johnson’s feel for spin and athleticism make him very interesting clay, but progression with command to the edges is vital for his future as a starter.
3B Drew Compton, Georgia Tech
Date(s) seen: 4/22, 4/29, 4/30
Compton has really been able to showcase how loud his bat can be as of late, as he’s been doing big damage on fastballs and drove in five runs--including the game winner--in Tech’s 12-11 extra inning win over Duke. He does struggle with changeups and there’s some ambiguity on whether or not his long term home is third base, but the combination of power production, contact skills, and switch hitting flexibility gives Tech’s middle-of-the-order slugger a solid offensive floor in this draft class.
RHP Blake Gillespie, Next Level Academy (GA)
Date(s) seen: 4/26
Pitching in Academy Prospect League out at East Cobb, Blake Gillespie went out and handled business like you would expect against an overmatched Citadels lineup--throwing four scoreless innings with ten strikeouts. Gillespie’s frame is a bit smaller than the median prep pitching prospect at 6’1”, but projects to add strength with a presently lean build and high waist. Arm action is shorter but with some stiffness, doesn't exert much effort to get to velo and consistently held low 90s throughout outing. Fastball was 89-92 T93 MPH, primarily two seamer with good tail with some four seamers early with solid carry---spins both well and efficiently. Curveball was mid 70s with tight 11-5 vertical break, average to above average pitch.. Like the fastball, it got whiffs with regularity throughout outing. Flashed low 80s changeup with good depth but intermittent feel the table drop, as well as a singular 81 MPH slider with Julio Teheran style lateral movement. Worked both sides of a fairly wide zone, a few curveballs weren't finished but generally landed his pitches all outing.
LHP Carson Palmquist, Miami (FL)
Date(s) seen: 4/29
Palmquist is a lean lefty with physical characteristics--primarily sloped shoulders--that suggest he will continue to add strength in his developmental path. Clean arm, distributes his weight well in repeatable delivery that's not easy to repeat unless you're strong in your core and lower half. Low 3Q delivery that borders on sidearm. Head stays on target, some effort to velo. Fastball sat 88-91 T92 MPH, lots of arm side run and locates to both sides of the plate. Occasional miss over the middle will get driven, but is otherwise a groundball and broken bat machine. Will go upstairs when he needs to and can get whiffs due to flat VAA. Changeup was 79-82 with loads of run and tunnels well off FB when he's locating. Tonight that was an issue, and while there were some good ones thrown that got weak contact Palmquist never found his CH command. Slider is a sweepy mid 70s breaker that lacks sharpness at times, but creates a really uncomfortable look for LHH due to how far it starts out and how much lateral break it has. Awkward swings and takes in the zone from Tech lefties, and did finish under barrels late for whiffs. Command was a mixed bag; couldn't find his good changeup and a handful of mistakes with the cambio and fastball were punished by GT hitters. Worked fastball down to get quick groundball outs against the bottom of the order, really helped him get through seven innings without his best pitch.
RHP Alex McFarlane, Miami (FL)
Date(s) Seen: 4/30
Big frame, lean and high waisted. Works from lower 3Q armslot with some effort to get to velo. Fastball sat at 95-97 MPH and touched 98 on two occasions. True turbo sinker that is hard to elevate when he can locate below the beltline. Slider was 85-88 with short but sharp bite, good total movement and shape for that velocity band. In this single inning relief role, the arsenal flashes plus and can operate with more general command into the bottom half of the strike zone. Real late inning upside with additional development.
RHP Zach Maxwell, Georgia Tech
Date(s) Seen: 4/22, 4/29, 4/30
Maxwell was moved back into a relief role about a month and a half ago, and has regained a few extra ticks on his fastball and slider in the process. Over my looks in April, Maxwell sat 95-98 with its usual high carry shape, touching 99 against Duke and 100 vs. Miami. The velocity plays up its whiff potential, though even at the ACC level it does get hit on occasion when Maxwell leaves it below the letters. The slider appears to have been tinkered with a bit in his last appearance, as it was up from 84-87 MPH to 87-90 MPH, with noticeably sharper vertical movement. It’s something to keep an eye on in May for Georgia Tech’s stopper, who has some of the best pure ability to spin both fastballs and breaking balls in this draft class.
Quick followups on Georgia Tech hitters from last set of notes that keep hitting
2B Chandler Simpson, Georgia Tech
Date(s) Seen: 4/22, 4/29, 4/30
Simpson showcased his innate ability to get the bathead out on about any pitch he offers at--even ones where he was fooled. A huge on base threat with blazing speed to take extra bases when the opportunity presents itself. Really good range and hands up the middle, but throwing issues have saddled him to second base for the time being. With that said, he still projects to be a valuable defensive asset there, and offers a high offensive floor with his potent combination of contact skills, plate discipline and easy 70 grade speed.
C Kevin Parada, Georgia Tech
Date(s) Seen: 4/22, 4/29, 4/30
Parada continues to demonstrate an elite ability to do damage on a full gamut of pitches in any part of the strike zone--punctuated by no doubt home runs off of Carson Palmquist and Karson Ligon this past weekend. Having some rougher outings behind the plate--particularly with throwing accuracy--but athleticism is still encouraging for development and bat plays at any spot on the defensive spectrum.
1B Andrew Jenkins, Georgia Tech
Date(s) Seen: 4/22, 4/29, 4/30
Jenkins has shown better defensive chops as of late at first base, with improved hands to take advantage of his advanced range at the position. The Yellow Jackets’ three hole hitter has had struggles against good sliders, but shows an ability to adjust in later plate appearances and does big time damage on fastballs and changeups. Some of the best realized game power in the draft class, and could offer really good value to a team that can help him make an adjustment to recognize sliders earlier in his swing process.
MLB Draft Live Looks: April Recap
Harris Yudin's Sunday Coffee Live Looks
MLB Draft Live Looks - Week 8
Jace Jung, 2B, Texas Tech
Performance: 2-4, 1 HR, 1 BB
Listed at 6-feet, 205 pounds, the younger brother of Rangers top prospect Josh Jung looks mightier than his listed measurements. Jace Jung is powerfully built with impressive lower body strength. While he is close to maxed out physically, he already generates plus power and has an ideal swing for generating loft, which was on display as he leveraged a slider out of the park. More notably, Jung delivered an impressive five plate appearances, seeing 26 total pitches, adding a hard-hit single to go along with the home run. Jung is uber-selective and has a great feel for his swing, meaning he’s very likely to have excellently low whiff totals. It’s also evident Jung never lacks confidence at the plate -- even with two strikes -- as he worked a walk after seeing 5 two-strike pitches and slugging his home run in a 2-2 count.
Jung’s defensive instincts and leadership qualities were also on display as he showed adequate range to his left and served as the coordinator of defensive shifts. After starting the season off in expected fashion, Jung has reached new heights since March 15th (106 PAs), recording an OPS of 1.411 -- fueled by 8 homers -- with 23 walks to just 11 strikeouts.
-Tyler Paddor
Kurt Wilson, SS, Texas Tech
Performance: 3-5, 1 3B
The scout-drawing presence of Jace Jung on a team like Texas Tech is set to benefit consistent performers like Kurt Wilson. His strong 6-foot-2 frame and average to above-average speed give him workable tools on both sides of the ball. Wilson has a sturdy base that helps him drive on pitches low in the zone and an excellent ability to cover the outer half, though he may run into issues if he more consistently faces fastballs with carry. Wilson can be a swiss-army knife, though he’s had a stable showing at SS this season. His internal clock is evident and he showed smooth hands. As a 24-year old prospect, Wilson’s draft ceiling is limited to a late day 3 selection but he can bring versatile depth and a pro-ready bat to a system.
-Tyler Paddor
Jeffrey David, CF/3B*, New Mexico
Performance: 4-6, 1 HR
Originally a tooled-up Dallas Baptist recruit, the 6-foot-2, 190-pound David has found his footing this year with New Mexico; manning center-field like a stallion due to his plus speed and deploying an aggressive all-fields approach. In this game, David ended up starting at third-base for the first time this year, flashing his above average arm and looking comfortable handling a couple scorchers. He put a ribbon on a 4 for 6 game with a 3-run walk off homer. This year, David has been a bit swing happy but against Texas Tech, he laid off borderline pitches early in counts to get ahead. While David’s approach is rough around the edges, he has an undeniable knack for hitting the ball hard. The versatile David is an interesting later round target for teams confident in maximizing physical talent.
-Tyler Paddor
SS Zach Neto, Campbell
Neto was an on-base machine for the Camels on Tuesday, reaching base in four of his five plate appearances. He drew three walks and reached on a bloop single in the ninth, showing off his patience and bat-to-ball skills. He maintains a wide base with a big leg kick, but does a good job staying balanced throughout the swing.
On top of his reliability at the plate, Neto made an impact on the basepaths – breaking up a potential double play in the third and flying around the bases to score on an error in the seventh – and in the field, where he helped end a Carolina rally in the sixth inning with a quick tag to catch Mac Horvath stealing.
Neto didn’t get an opportunity to show off his range or arm strength on Tuesday, but his soft hands and smooth actions were on display. A team convinced he can stick at shortstop will likely pull the trigger in the late first round.
-Harris Yudin
Trevon Dabney, 3B, James Madison University
Bats/Throws; Right / Right
Height/Weight: 6-1 / 190
Year/Draft Age: Fourth Year Junior / 21.11
Date(s) Seen: 03/26/22
Batting Line: 2-4, 2 2B, 1 BB, 1 HBP, 0 K
Batting ahead of Chase DeLauter in the JMU lineup was the third baseman, Trevon Dabney. Standing at 6-foot-1 and 190 lbs, Dabney combines solid size, impressive physicality, and some quick-twitch athleticism. He utilizes an open, wide, and crouched stance at the plate with good bat speed and a solid understanding of the strike zone. He has enough raw pop to hit for power at the next level but showed off more of a line drive approach with a swing that was quick in and out of the zone. He smoked a couple of doubles and also reached base via the walk in five plate appearances.
Dabney has split time between third base and the outfield during his college career but played the outfield almost exclusively in 2020 and 2021. He has 32 games at third base this spring compared to just four in the outfield. Dabney showed the reflexes and twitch necessary for the hot corner and made a nice stop on a hard grounder during the game but he had trouble getting the ball out of his glove. The hands may not work enough for the infield at the next level which would ultimately shift him to the outfield. If Dabney could handle center field it would really boost his stock but his lack of experience there combined with his advanced age makes that possibility a bit gloomy. Dabney lacks a plus tool but is performing (1.010+ OPS) and has the body of a professional ballplayer. He looks like a day three (rounds 11-20) pick to me.
-Brian Recca
Colby Thomas, RF, Mercer University
Bats/Throws; Right / Right
Height/Weight: 6-0 / 190
Year/Draft Age: Third Year Sophomore / 21.05
Date(s) Seen: 04/01/22
Batting Line: 0-4. 0 BB, 0 K
It’s been a true breakout year for Colby Thomas after showing some intriguing tools on the Cape and during the 2021 college season. Thomas entered this weekend matchup against Seton Hall with nine homers on the year and would have three more by the time Mercer hit the road. Unfortunately, I saw Thomas on the day he struggled to an 0-4 line. Thomas doesn’t have the typical size of a middle of the order basher with more of a lean, average build. The body looks strong and projectable with above-average athleticism. Thomas has a tall and open stance with the bat head pointing almost straight up in the air. There’s a sizable leg lift that leads into an aggressive hack. There’s excellent acceleration in the hips and lower half which generates torque and impressive power. Thomas had mixed results on the Cape this past summer with one of the main issues being his plate discipline. In one at-bat during my look, Thomas did a good job getting ahead to a 3-1 count. He then chased a pitch well off the plate for strike two and then jammed himself on a fastball up and in which would have been ball four. Instead, it was an easy groundout. Thomas saw a lot of sliders and opposing arms tempted him early and often with the breaking ball. He seemed to be able to lay off pitches early in counts but would then expand later on.
It should be noted that this was just a single look and it came on a cold and wet Friday afternoon. Defensively, Thomas had some trouble with the wind on a deep fly ball but was able to haul it in with an over-the-shoulder catch. His arm wasn’t tested but has shown to be average-to-plus in the past. He looks well suited for either corner outfield spot at the next level. Colby Thomas is now up to sixteen homers on the season with a 1.280 OPS and is likely the favorite to win Southern Conference player of the year honors. His plate discipline concerns are likely to hold him back from the top few rounds but he’s unlikely to drop past the 5th round or so this July. It’s a good mix of plus raw power and above-average speed which puts him in that second or third tier of college outfielders.
-Brian Recca
JP Massey, RHP, University of Minnesota
Height/Weight: 6-1 / 190
Year/Draft Age: Fourth Year Junior / 21.11
Date(s) Seen: 04/02/22
Pitching Line: 3.1 IP, 5 H, 6 ER, 4 BB, 5 K
J.P. Massey was a popular breakout pick heading into the 2021 college season. There were flashes of premium stuff from an athletic, long-limbed righty during the canceled 2020 season and many were expecting further growth in his third year at Minnesota. Instead, Massey had a disastrous spring with an ERA over 10.00 that included 33 walks in 20 innings. I saw him pitch briefly during the MLB Draft League last summer and didn’t see much of a draft prospect because of how out of whack his mechanics and delivery were. Pitching against a very strong Rutgers lineup, Massey looked way more in control of his body with a simpler and more repeatable delivery than when I saw him about ten months ago. Massey also looked a bit more physical after appearing to be mostly skin and bones in the past. His listed weight of 205 lbs might be a tad inflated but he looks bigger than the 170-pound number he was listed at previously. Remarkably, Massey still appears to be an arm with plenty of room to grow physically with a lanky 6-5 frame. He’s undoubtedly a plus athlete with a loose arm and plenty of arm speed.
His fastball was 90-93 which was down from the 96 MPH velocity that he flashed previously. The pitch had a mostly sinking shape and it looked like he would occasionally cut the pitch unintentionally. His strike-throwing was much improved but the command of the fastball was still below average. Massey labored in his fourth inning of work and was pulled after loading the bases with one out. All those inherited runners would end up scoring for Rutgers which meant Massey would be tagged for six earned runs on the day. He walked four (two walks in the 4th), struck out five, but was better than his final line indicated. Massey has two separate swing and miss breaking balls in his arsenal with a curveball and slider. The slider flashed plus with both sweeping movement and depth. He used it effectively against lefties at times by locating the pitch towards the back foot. I also liked the bite and shape of his curveball when he snapped off some good ones. The curve didn’t come out of the hand cleanly as often as the slider but it showed above-average potential. I didn’t see a changeup as Massey utilized both breakers and the fastball for a three-pitch mix. The performance hasn’t been there for Massey thus far (6.23 ERA) but there’s enough raw ability and year-to-year growth to endear him to some area scouts. It’s a middle relief profile if he’s able to show more consistency pitch-to-pitch and get back to mid-90s velocity with his fastball.
-Brian Recca
John-Biagio Modugno, RHP, Indiana
Height/Weight: 6-5 / 205
Year: Third Year Sophomore / 21.11
Date(s) Seen: 04/15/22
Pitching Line: 4 IP, 2 H, O ER, 3 BB, 4 K, 1 HBP
Modugno was a late college pop-up arm last spring who flashed a plus slider and enough 92-95 MPH velocity to make him a legitimate draft prospect despite only 40 or so innings of work at Indiana. He was passed over as an eligible sophomore in 2021 but was a high-level follow for the 2022 season. D1Baseball ranked Modugno as the 3rd best 2022 draft prospect in the Big Ten while Perfect Game ranked him 5th. Things haven’t gone according to plan for Modugno as he currently sports an 8.38 ERA on the year. He had much more success during his Friday start against Rutgers as he shut out the Scarlet Knights for four innings. The stuff we saw last year wasn’t on display for Modugno in this one as he sat 89-91 MPH and was down to the 87-89 range by the 4th inning. He struggled to command the fastball early but gained a better feel for it as the game progressed. Modugno’s equalizer was his 79-81 MPH slider that he used to generate most of his whiffs. The slider has good sweeping movement and it tunnels well off his fastball. He used to throw it a bit harder and Modugno could have a true plus pitch if he added a little power to his breaker. Modugno didn’t feature a third pitch and focused on mixing his fastball-slider pairing through his four innings of work. He started giving up some squared-up contact in the 4th which is when his overall velocity started to decline.
At 6-foot-5 Modugno has good size and length in his projectable build. The delivery will need some refinement at the next level as will the fastball command. In order to regain legitimate draft interest, Modugno’s stuff will really need to tick up and his performance will need to be much stronger down the stretch. This outing was a step in the right direction as he was able to battle through multiple innings without his best stuff. He’s likely a two-pitch reliever at the next level and could be a good low-risk/high reward pick on day three of the draft.
-Brian Recca
Matthew Ellis, C, Indiana
Height/Weight: 6-4 /235
Year/Draft Age: Fourth Year Junior / 21.11
Date(s) Seen: 04/15/22
Batting Line: 0-3, 1 IBB, 0 K
Matthew Ellis looks to have found a home in Hoosier country after bouncing around between teams the last few years. Ellis redshirted his first at Tennessee before moving on to Walters State CC for a couple of years. He’s been Indiana’s primary catcher this year while moving to DH on his “off days” as he did during this game. He is extremely physical with strength distributed throughout his body. It’s kind of a square build without much projection but Ellis is supremely strong. He has double-plus raw power which has allowed him to swat twelve homers through 34 games with nearly half of his hits going for extra bases. Ellis has a narrow, slightly open stance with the bat resting on his back shoulder. His swing is low effort and features a toe tap and moderate leg lift. He does an excellent rotating his torso into contact and looks to drive the ball in the air and to his pull side. Ellis has recorded some massive exit velocity readings (118 max EV, 485 max distance) this spring and it’s not hard to see why as the swing is geared for big pull contact. There doesn’t seem to be much feel for spraying the ball to other fields as he was caught trying to yank pitches on the outer third multiple times in this game. He just missed squaring up a pitch in his third at-bat that went for a fly-out to right field.
Ellis did not get out of the box well on a double play groundout and his movements overall are not overly athletic. He might be a 30 or 20 grade runner. The Hoosiers pinch ran for Ellis in the 8th inning of a tie game which was very telling for me. I didn’t get to see him behind the plate but given his size and movements, it’s hard for me to envision him behind the plate long term. My guess is that Ellis is limited to first base at the next level. Overall, Ellis has some profile similarities to Niko Kavadas who was an excellent power bat for Notre Dame and an 11th round draft pick ($250,000 bonus, 6th/7th round money) last year by the Red Sox. Ellis looks like a late day 2 or early day 3 pick with the raw power and strength driving the profile.
-Brian Recca
Phillip Glasser, SS, Indiana
Height/Weight: 6-0 /195
Year/Draft Age: Fourth Year Junior / 22.07
Date(s) Seen: 04/15/22
Batting Line: 3-3, 2 2B, 1 BB, 0 K
Glasser really stood out at the plate in this one, putting together some of the best at-bats of the day. He showed enough on both sides of the ball that I could see him getting pro interest on day two of the draft. He's thickly built with compact strength and is capable of making hard, line-drive contact. He has a pesky, top-of-the-lineup type of profile. Glasser can work counts and does a good job waiting for his pitch. He lined a couple of hard hits to right field on pitches inside and below his belt which might be his "happy zone". He also showed good bat and barrel control on a tough fastball outside. He let the ball travel deep with some barrel lag before using his quick hands to drive the ball the opposite way for a double. Glasser's hit tool looks above average to me and he's currently running a 22:20 K-to-BB ratio in 165 plate appearances.
Glasser showed plus speed on the bases but could slow down as he matures. He wasn't really tested at shortstop but he transferred in from Youngstown State with a reputation of being a solid defender at short. He has infield actions and will fit up the middle somewhere. Glasser will be closer to 23 years old than 22 on draft day which limits his stock. Still, up the middle college bats in power conferences don't typically last long. Glasser could be a popular discount pick in the top ten rounds.
-Brian Recca
Dale Stanavich, LHP, Rutgers
Height/Weight: 5-11 / 175
Year/Draft Age: Fifth Year Junior / 23.00
Date(s) Seen: 04/15/22
Pitching Line: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K
I didn’t get a chance to see Rutgers closer Dale Stanavich in either of my prior Rutgers games so I was pretty happy to see him enter the game in the 9th inning as were the dozen or so other scouts in attendance. The undersized lefty was a late-inning weapon on the Cape last summer and was a big reason why the Brewster Whitecaps were 2021 champions of the CCBL. Stanavich took his time in between pitches but still managed to set down Indiana’s offense quickly with a 1-2-3 ninth that required only ten pitches. It was a heavy dose of fastballs from Stanavich who lived in the 92-94 MPH range while grabbing a 95 for good measure. Stanavich’s high angle and low release height give his fastball excellent shape and plane towards the plate making it a bat misser at the next level. He didn’t utilize his slider much but did get an empty swing on a backfoot slider to a righty hitter. The pitch was above average and was thrown at 83 MPH. Stanavich has a late-inning, attack mode mentality and the intensity you like to see from a high leverage arm. He commands his fastball at a high level as evidenced by his 1.9 BB/9 in 19.1 innings this spring. Stanavich has closed out eight games for Rutgers so far with a 0.93 ERA and 33 strikeouts compared to just 4 walks (8.25 K/BB). He’ll be 23 years old on draft day but his performance and loud stuff from the left side fit well in the middle rounds of day 2 (rounds 5-7) as a potential bonus savings pick. Expect Stanavich to move quickly in pro ball.
-Brian Recca
Pat Gallagher, RHP, UConn
Height/Weight: 6-0 / 195
Year/Draft Age: Third Year Sophomore / 22.00
Date(s) Seen: 04/16/22
Pitching Line: 6 IP, 4 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 5 K
Pat Gallagher and Friday night starter Austin Peterson have formed a powerful weekend duo for the Huskies this year. Imagine how good this rotation would have been with Reggie Crawford in the mix. Gallagher lowered his season ERA to 2.29 after shutting out Seton Hall for six innings. He's undersized but built strongly at 6'0-195. The delivery is simple and highly repeatable with a longer arm action in the back and a ¾ release. He isn't overpowering, sitting 87-90 and occasionally reaching back for 91 MPH or 92 MPH as he did in the 4th and 5th innings. Gallagher located his heater to all four quadrants and recorded a handful of whiffs on the fastball up in the zone. His best pitch was a slider which he threw more than his fastball in the first inning before relying more on the fastball later on. I liked the pitchability he showed there with the ability to work backward for a full inning to open the game. He commanded the slider at an above-average level and kept the pitch low and away to righties with 78-81 MPH velocity. The pitch didn't have wipeout movement but it had consistent shape and played to a near above-average level with his command. Gallagher went to his changeup against lefties and it was mostly a below-average pitch, though he did throw one that stood out as average.
Gallagher lacks a standout tool and doesn't have a ton of projection remaining in his frame. He performed decently on the Cape and has shown a couple more ticks of velo in the past. He's an older college performer with a bunch of 45 to 55 grade tools. Gallagher is a likely day 3 pick but I could also see a return to UConn for a 4th season.
-Brian Recca
2022 MLB Draft - Mock Draft 2.0
Agents Encouraging Older Draft Prospects to Avoid Pre-Draft Physical, Avoid "Top 300"
MLB Draft Live Looks Week 8 - Southern California and New York
In this edition of MLB Draft Live looks, Brandon Smith and Jackson Thomas went out and saw front-line 2022 draft talent including big pop-up prospects at the high school and college level.
RHP RILEY KELLY, TUSTIN HS
Seen: 4/13
Riley Kelly a UCI commit out of Tustin High School has been a sudden pop-up pitcher for the upcoming draft. What fueled the pop-up hype was reports that his fastball was up to 92-94 on a consistent basis. However, during this outing, he was predominantly 88-90 and hit 91 only once. Additionally, his fastball came off rather pedestrian in shape and life, consistently coming in straight with occasional arm side life. Regardless of Kelly’s fastball, there was plenty of intriguing projectability and skillset that hold merit to him being a pop-up guy. Kelly has a large projectable frame with long limbs and a slender build, boding well for future added muscle and strength. He works downhill with his delivery with little bend and flexibility coming from tightly wound hips, forcing him to pitch from an upright stance with little leg drive. Kelly repeats his short arm action well with good arm speed, a snappy finish, and solid extension. The biggest takeaway from Kelly’s outing was that he can spin the breaking ball, which was a large part of his 17 K performance. The curveball projects as a future 55/60 pitch with tight spin and big 11/5 shape that was consistently landed for a strike in any count at 77-80 MPH. All in all, it is easy to see all the projection that Kelly has as a pitching prospect. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see him taken on late Day 2 of the draft but I believe that he could see his development skyrocket by going to UCI.
- Jackson Thomas
RHP DREW THORPE, CAL POLY SLO
Seen: 4/14
Performance: 6 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 9 K, 2 BB, 33.98% CSW
Drew Thorpe continued his dominant season with a good outing against the UCI Anteaters. Thrope has generated a lot of buzz in California for his consistent performance, projectability, and ability to throw 3+ pitches for strikes. He repeats his delivery well showing lots of athleticism to drive down the bump and push out over his chest. His arm action overall was very clean and smooth, coming from a small tight circle path to a high 3/4 release. The Mustangs’ ace leaned heavily on his change-up all night, arguably his best pitch with flashes of plus. The changeup moves with late lateral fade, falling off as soon as it gets near home plate, sitting 78-81 MPH. His changeup had a 50% whiff rate on the outing and Thorpe demonstrated high confidence in using that weapon in any count. Thrope’s fastball topped out at 93 and was mainly in the 89-91 range as the night progressed. He showed the ability to command his fastball and all edges of the zone, using its sinking profile to his advantage. Thrope’s slider was used as his third pitch and generated its share of whiffs, coming in with a tight and short 10/4 break at 79-81 MPH. A common theme for Thorpe on his outing was that he consistently battled from behind in counts to generate outs, which is great to see he can compete even without having his best stuff.
- Jackson Thomas
SS BROOKS LEE, CAL POLY SLO
Seen: 4/14, 4/15
Performance: 2-7, 1 RBI, 1 K, 2 BB, 1 SB
Arguably the top college draft prospect for the 2022 class had a relatively quiet two games in my looks, only getting two hits, with one being an IF single. Regardless it’s apparent to see why Lee is a projected top 5 pick. Lee has a maxed-out build with tree trunk legs and a strong upper half. He is able to fully integrate his body into his swing, fully complimenting his great bat speed and above-average bat-to-ball skills. When running out of the box Lee showed good acceleration down the baseline but didn’t reach a top line speed that was anything to write home about. Lee made a good read on a breaking ball to get a stolen base with ease on Friday’s game, once again showing high-level intangibles and baseball intellect on the diamond.. I will question how long Lee can stay at SS considering his range seemed limited to his right side on a couple of ground balls that snuck through with slow and choppy footwork. However, Lee has the ideal makeup for a pro player as he consistently plays with high levels of poise, leadership, and confidence on the diamond.
- Jackson Thomas
RHP NOLAN DEVOS, DAVIDSON
Seen: 4/15
Performance: 5.2 IP, 8 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 7 K
DeVos has been somewhat of a popup prospect this spring for Davidson after he was a walk-on his freshman year. He consistently has been one of the nations leaders in strikeouts throughout the spring season. This is due to his above average fastball/slider mix which generates whiffs in all quadrants of the zone. DeVos has a deceptive operation that analytically driven teams covet, as he releases from a lower release height and still creates lift on his four seam fastball up in the zone. This was displayed during his outing as he was able to attack Bonaventure hitters up in the zone and generated whiffs. His fastball sat in the 89-92 range, which is a couple of ticks down from earlier in the year when he would sit in the mid 90s. It is important to note that he has been primarily used as a reliever during his collegiate career and the additional workload may be a factor for the slight decrease in velocity. Additionally, he had to battle suboptimal weather conditions as there were 40mph winds as well as precipitation factored in with below 40 degree weather. He showed excellent command of his sweeping slider which darted away from right handed hitters and was not afraid to triple up on the offering. He also dropped in a couple of curveballs or “dumpers” early in counts to work ahead of hitters, as well as flashing a changeup to left-hand hitters. The only blemish on his line came when he left a fastball up over the heart of the plate to a right handed hitter who was able to get on plane and drive the pitch over the left field wall. Despite the long ball, he rebounded nicely to strikeout the next two batters he faced. DeVos worked from a very quick tempo on the hill and was very efficient with his pitches as he made quick use of hitters and rarely worked deep counts. There is a lot to like in the analytical profile with DeVos and if he can show that he can gain back some of his velocity, he figures to hear his name called in the 8-10 round range.
- Brandon Smith
CF PARKER NOLAN, DAVIDSON
Seen: 4/15
Performance: 2-5, 1 HR, 1 1B, 1 K
Nolan is a toolsy outfielder and will be a name to monitor late on day three. Despite being a four year player, Nolan’s game still is raw. Standing in at 6’4, he showed his defense, speed, and power tools . He gets great reads off the bat in centerfield and uses his speed to track down fly balls in the gaps as he has great closing speed. He showed the power tool when he unloaded on a go-ahead three run homerun in his final at-bat that he blasted to his pull side. There are questions surrounding his bat to ball skills and whether or not he will make enough contact to ascend through a minor league system. Nonetheless, the raw skills and athleticism Nolan possesses would make him an interesting prospect if an organization feels that they can develop his raw skill set into more polished tools.
- Brandon Smith
C MICHAEL CARICO (2023), DAVIDSON
Seen: 4/15
Performance: 1-3, 1 1B, 2 BB
Never too early to look ahead to the 2023 class and Davidson appears to have a name to follow in Michael Carico. The left-hand hitting catcher is very poised in the box. Carico demonstrates advanced feel for the strike and recognizes spin well. This is reflective in his swing decisions and in his walk rate. A byproduct of his selective approach at the plate is his ability to punish pitches in the zone. He has a quiet load as works into his backside and has a quick bat path which allows him to barrel pitches. He showed power to all fields during his pregame batting practice and has hit homers to all fields in game. Carico is an athletic catcher who moves well behind the plate. There is still plenty of projection remaining in his game with his hit and power tool grading out well above average.
- Brandon Smith
Live Looks: NHSI Day 1
MLB Draft: Live Looks - 2 Week Roundup
This week, Jared Perkins went out to George Mason University to get some live looks as they took on the Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU) Rams. VCU ended up winning by a score of 9-3 even though the game was a bit of a pitcher's duel early on.
Tyler Locklear, 3B/1B, VCU
Tyler Locklear, who comes in at #93 on the Prospects Live 2022 MLB Draft Board, was the main player of interest. He started the game at third and is capable of handling the hot corner, but most likely ends up moving to first base where he might be a better defender. Locklear struggled with his timing a bit in his first at bat, but overall showed a sound hitting approach. He has good rhythm and timing and a well-balanced stance with a quick load and quiet stride. He has a strong, well-built frame which you can tell helps produce much of the plus-plus power from his right-handed swing. He showed a bit of it in his third at bat as he drove one nearly to the warning track even though the swing wasn’t his best. He was able to produce some easy natural loft power.
It wasn’t his best game (still ended up with two hits and three RBI), but you can see why many are still in love with his bat. In his six at-bats he didn’t strikeout and has only struck out nine times in 88 at-bats on the year. Even though much of this probably correlates with the lack of pitching in the Atlantic 10 conference, he shows that he knows the strike zone well and is able to battle while he is down in the count. His draft stock probably takes a hit since he showed a higher strikeout rate in the Cape Cod league where the pitching is much better, but he does offset some of those concerns with his ability to draw walks.
He is a fringe-average defender at third base. His throws from third base are on target and his arm is average, but most likely needs to improve on his footwork and agility if he wants to stick at third. On the base paths, he’s alert and knows how to run the bases. He is a big, strong guy that can produce average speed despite his size. He had a stolen base in the first after getting a great read off of a lefty. He’s not going to blow you away on the base paths, but with his good jumps and ability to go first to third, he won’t be a clogger. Despite some of the defensive concerns, Locklear’s bat is what will have teams making the call on draft day. His raw power and ability to be a complete hitter at the plate will have teams taking a shot on Locklear in the top 100 picks come draft day.
Brett Stallings, 2B, George Mason
He may not be getting a call on draft day, but junior infielder Brett Stallings impressed me in this game. Stallings was hitting out of the leadoff spot for the Patriots. Even though he only had one hit, he looked far from being overmatched by VCU’s Tyler Davis who was throwing well on the mound. In his first at-bat, Stallings worked the count and wound up shortening up to drive one into the outfield for a single. He shows a great ability to make consistent contact and above-average speed on the base paths. He is a contact-first-oriented hitter who definitely lacks power.
Tyler Davis, LHP, VCU
Not eligible for the draft until 2023, sophomore Tyler Davis looked pretty good on the mound in this one. George Mason’s lineup wasn’t much of a test as Davis was able to strike out five over six innings while giving up just three hits. He had a funky, short-arm delivery. His fastball was sitting in the 89 to 91 range but touched 92 multiple times. He had average command of it when he was on. There were times he lacked control with it as a few pitches got away from him. His changeup was in the 80 to 82 mph range and he was able to keep hitters off balance with it. He had a third pitch that looked to be a slider that sat in the 78 to 80 mph range and had some decent bite to it. He was really able to work his offspeed pitches to get himself out of a jam early on in the game.
Also on the road, Will Hoefer went out to a number of games to get live looks at Georgia, as well as some of the top prep prospects over the past few weeks.
RHP Jonathan Cannon, Georgia
Jonathan Cannon may have had the best start of his college career vs. Mississippi State, striking out nine in eight scoreless innings. The 6-5 right hander was able to pound the zone all night, coming at Bulldog hitters with a big windup and shortened arm action that hid the ball well before whipping out at a three quarters arm slot. Cannon creates a steep angle on his two seam fastball, which sat at 93-96 MPH with big tail all night and generated lots of ground ball contact. However, hitters started to see the pitch better third time through the order and were barrelling it often in the seventh and eighth innings. A newer pitch in his arsenal was his main out pitch this evening, a high 80s cutter that was located to the gloveside black all night and got whiffs and jam shot contact from lefties. Cannon’s sole vertically breaking pitch, a slurve at 79-83 MPH, featured above average vertical+horizontal break and also got its fair share of whiffs. Rounding off the arsenal was a low to mid 80s changeup that matched the two seamer’s shape well, though its location was scattershot.
RHP Preston Johnson, Mississippi State
Preston Johnson turned in a solid start for Mississippi State in their loss to Georgia on March 18th, surrendering three runs but striking out ten in six innings of work. The 6-4 right hander is filled out at 250 lbs. and lacks projection, but uses present strength to sit low 90s with ease and consistency throughout outings. Fastball has good arm side run and was fairly effective at getting whiffs at the top of the zone. Slider was 79-83, tilty with above average depth. Change was 8-286 with big tail and mimicked fastball’s shape very well. Both of these secondaries got whiffs throughout outing, with the change being the more advanced offering of the two in terms of command. Mixed in sparingly was a mid 70s CB, glacial offering that served as little more than a get me over pitch. Pounded the zone all night, but did make some mistakes with fastball and slider and got punished for them (homer hit off each of them).
RHP Dylan Lesko, Buford (GA)
Dylan Lesko’s fastball sat in the usual velocity band of 91-96, but his ability to hit the edges was lacking throughout the outing. On top of that, his mistakes with the heater were barrelled quite often by Dacula (two solo home runs), something very uncommon for the Buford ace so far this season. With that said, he did find his changeup later in the outing, and racked up a dozen whiffs with it in his four innings of work. As an additional note, Lesko did sprinkle in three curveballs at 76-78 MPH, which featured good 1-7 shape and were snapped off well. The expectation of sterling performance and command for a prep arm on a nightly basis is folly, and Lesko showed evaluators his makeup and ability to battle in an outing where he didn’t have his usual standard of stuff.
SS Termarr Johnson, Mays (GA)
Termarr Johnson had a strong day at the plate vs. Paideia on the 22nd, taking advantage of a mistake fastball and driving it deep into the woods beyond right center field. There’s not much left for Johnson as a hitter, and there will be some days where he will be pitched with supreme caution--getting maybe one or two opportunities to take the bat off his shoulders. But eyes are always on him at in the field, where #42 is trying his damnedest to convince decision makers that he can be developed as a shortstop and stick there. He’s consistently able to handle routine opportunities and make a variety of throws, with soft hands and quick instinctual movements. The question is about how his body matures and how much his range at the position will decrease. As of now, he does everything well in the six hole, and plays with effort and energy.
C Logan Tanner, Mississippi State
Befitting of his lynchpin status, Logan Tanner put in some of the best at bats of the night vs. a very sharp Jonathan Cannon. Early on he struggled with the Georgia ace’s velocity, but came back in his 2nd plate appearance to shoot 94 down the line for a double--the only extra base hit Mississippi State had all night. Defensively, Tanner was solid behind the dish and received pitches well. A good game on a not so good night for one of college baseball’s top catchers.
RF/DH Gavin Cross, Virginia Tech
Cross wasn’t his usually prolific self from a performance stand point vs. Georgia Tech, but did a good job of fighting off pitches all game long and was making solid contact throughout the afternoon. Towards the end of game two, solid contact started turning into barrels, as he roped a single through the middle and smashed a hanging breaking ball pullside for a double. Cross expands his zone more than you’d like, but demonstrates all fields power in most games and runs well for a man of his larger stature--though he was slowed a bit by a leg issue in this look and had to DH game two.
SS Tanner Schobel, Virginia Tech
Schobel played better than his statline would seem to indicate, being felled by a lot of close strike threes and hard elevated contact that found gloves. He did take an elevated fastball from Georgia Tech fireballer Zach Maxwell and deposited it over the extended netting in left field for a home run. The Hokies’ shortstop makes plenty of contact and exhibits strong swing decisions, and handles the routine plays on the infield, while also flashing a bit of playmaking ability from time to time. Solid physical tools across the board with an advanced feel for hitting and the barrel.
C Cade Hunter, Virginia Tech
Cade Hunter was having struggles with velocity for most of the afternoon, either getting underneath fastballs and popping them up or missing them completely and whiffing. However, much like Gavin Cross he started timing up pitches late in Game 2--scalding a ball through the middle in the seventh inning and barrelling up a 94 MPH Cort Roedig fastball for a game tying home run in the ninth inning. Hunter has flown up our draft board in the last two months, showcasing hitterish traits and above average game power to produce big offensive performance. More attention will be paid to his catching bonafides in April and May, but early returns show a good pitch framer with athleticism behind the plate.
CF Elijah Green, IMG Academy (FL)
I got the opportunity to see IMG’s Elijah Green in a Saturday morning game against Bob Jones (AL) in the National High School Select tournament at LakePoint. Words and numbers can’t do him justice --you have to see him in person next to other 17 and 18 year olds to understand how insanely physical and athletic Green is. Against fairly standard high school pitching, the Highlanders’ center fielder reached base safely all four times and consistently drove the ball the other way. It was a good weekend for Green, but he will need to continue showing progress with his contact skills to work his way back into the top of this class.
MLB Draft: GASSED UP - Week 6
Week 6 is in the books and our own Brian Recca has some THOUGHTS.
Drew Thorpe, RHP, Cal Poly
In a college draft class that is currently lacking in early round arms, Drew Thorpe is quietly moving up the ranks with seemingly no ceiling in sight. The Cal Poly ace threw seven innings (his fifth consecutive start of at least seven innings) of shutout baseball against UC San Diego. Thorpe needed just 108 pitches in his latest masterpiece and struck out 15 batters in the process. He now leads all of division 1 in total strikeouts. Thorpe limited traffic on the bases with only three hits allowed and a couple of walks. Thorpe continues to show well above average command of his full arsenal which includes a solid breaking ball, a plus changeup, and a fastball that is slowly but steadily adding velocity. He's currently #93 on our 2022 draft board and he has the performance and starter traits to rise up further before draft day.
Orion Kerkering, RHP, South Florida
A lack of previous starting experience didn't stop Orion Kerkering from putting together a dazzling seven inning performance this past weekend. The 6'2-205 pound righty has been sensational since moving to USF's weekend rotation and his most recent start might have been the best yet. Facing Niagara, Kerkering was nearly flawless for seven innings (a career high) allowing only a couple of hits and a single run on a sac fly. Kerkering attacks hitters with a mid-to-high 90s fastball that garners empty swings and a power slider that can be a putaway pitch. Kerkering doesn't have a long track record of success as a starter but he's answering questions and checking scouting boxes with each dominant outing.
Tyler Cleveland, RHP, Central Arkansas
Tyler Cleveland may not have the same kind of stuff or pedigree as the two names mentioned previously, but his start on March 25th was no less spectacular. Cleveland, a converted reliever, recorded the highest game score of the weekend with a 91 game score. He needed just 111 pitches to record a complete game shutout against Lipscomb on Friday, the first of his Central Arkansas career. Cleveland surrendered a pair of hits, struck out eight, and didn't allow a walk though he did hit a batter.
Cleveland isn't your prototypical Friday night ace. The lanky righty is a sidearmer without premium velocity. He gets heavy two seam movement on the fastball which allows it to pair effectively with his plus slider. Cleveland's slider moves like a frisbee and is reminiscent of the kind of pitch that Sergio Romo has leaned on during his fourteen year career. Cleveland isn't a big name draft prospect but he could still draw some interest from pro teams if he continues to perform thanks to his outlier traits. He was deservedly named A-Sun pitcher of the week and is set to face North Alabama on Friday.
Andrew Jenkins, 1B, Georgia Tech
It's been a torrid couple of weeks for Jenkins who has stepped up his production since conference play started. Jenkins entered the week on a two game multi-hit game streak which he was able to extend four more games against Kennesaw State and NC State. Jenkins was able to find holes all week with eleven total hits which led to seven RBI. Jenkins hit just a single homer (which came off of NC State's Sam Highfill) but did rack up four extra base hits and seventeen total bases. Jenkins currently ranks #338 on our draft board. It's hard to build draft value as a college first baseman but hitting at this level in the ACC will certainly help.
Ivan Melendez, 1B, Texas
Melendez is seemingly a weekly candidate for Gassed Up and he's clearly living up to the "Hispanic Titanic" moniker. Melendez swatted four homers with a 2.152 OPS in four games. He also successfully reached base in thirteen straight plate appearances which was enough for him to earn BIG 12 player of the week honors, his second time winning the award this season.
Melendez was drafted by the Marlins in the 16th round last year but decided not to sign. That bet on himself looks like a fantastic decision as Melendez has already matched his home run total from last year with thirteen long balls to date. There might not be a college bat with more power than Melendez who ranks #162 on the 2022 draft board.
Ethan Long, 3B, Arizona State
Don't look now but Ethan Long might finally be heating up. After missing most of the opening weekend of PAC-12 play against Oregon State with an injury, Long returned to the everyday lineup and hit a combined three homers against Grand Canyon in a midweek matchup and Washington over the weekend. Long raised his batting average nearly 50 points from .286 to .333, accumulating four multi-hit games in the process. Like Jenkins and Melendez, Long has prodigious power that he showed off as a true freshman (16 homers last year) and this past week with three big flies. Long was off to a surprisingly slow start prior to this weekend with just one homer and a significant uptick in whiffs. If he's able to right the ship, Long has the kind of offensive profile that can carry a college lineup to big wins against tough opponents. Long, a draft eligible sophomore, is currently #132 on our 2022 draft board.
MLB Draft: Live Looks Week 5 - Jared Perkins
Another week in the books and it was a hustle performance from the team at Prospects Live.
Nick Dean, RHP, Maryland
Dean has been the Friday night starter for Maryland all season long and has found success in this role. He is ranked #276 on our Top 400 board for the 2022 draft class. He was dialed in for the first two innings. His fastball velocity was also a little down as he was ranging 87-90, topping out at 91. Despite the decrease in velocity, his fastball was working well early on. He struggled to locate his fastball in the third, leaving a lot of pitches over the plate and getting touched up for six earned in four innings of work. His change-up, which set around 78-81 mph, looked as good as advertised with good depth. He also flashed a below-average curveball a couple of times. His curve was sitting around 68-71 mph. He relies on his extraordinary command and control to get outs. Overall, his command was pretty good. He has an intriguing profile with his plus change-up and if he can get his fastball to sit back in the low-90s. (Jared Perkins)
Maxwell Costes, 1B, Maryland
Brother of Houston Astros outfield prospect Marty Costes, Maxwell fits the profile of a power-first bat and a first base-only type player. He’s struggled some this season with chasing pitches out of the zone but did a great job in this game laying off and finding his pitch to drive. His outs were loud as he drove a bill to the centerfield wall in the first at-bat. He hits them high and far and shows good bat speed through the zone. He had a good game at the plate and was handling the pitching thrown at him from Siena. He pulled a ball into the gap for an RBI double in the fifth and a single in the seventh. He went undrafted in last year’s draft, returning to Maryland for his senior year. He has put together a decent season so far. If he continues to display his improved approach at the plate and power, he could make an intriguing late-round pick or undrafted signee. (Jared Perkins)
Chris Alleyne, OF, Maryland
Alleyne was one of the most impressive in this game. The overall toolset is intriguing. He hit out of the two holes for Maryland and displayed a fascinating mix of power and speed. He’s struggled some with the strikeout this year but has put together overall impressive numbers because of his patience at the plate. He struck out twice in this game due to chasing some bad pitches out of the zone. But the power was also on display. In the bottom of the fifth, he crushed a two-run home run to the deepest part of the park. He worked the count to 2-2, found a pitch he liked and drove it for his seventh home run. He didn’t steal any bags in this game but has taken 22 of 27 on the year. He’s got a solid compact build with muscular thighs and legs. If the fifth-year senior can couple his patience at the plate with the ability to cut down on chasing pitches, he could take that next step in his development and increase his draft value. (Jared Perkins)
Luke Gold, 2B, Boston College
Seven of the eight runs scored by Boston College were either driven in by Luke Gold or Cameron Leary. You understand the hype behind Gold when you watch him in person. He carries a plethora of tools at the plate that you would want out of a pick in the first three rounds. Virginia’s Brandon Neeck (#285) was rolling through the Boston College lineup for the first four innings, but Gold looked far from overmatched at the plate. Even his first at-bat was a loud out to deep left-center field. The ball jumps off his bat. I was most impressed by his second at-bat where he battled Neeck and worked himself into a 3-2 count. He wound up finding his pitch and taking Neeck deep to left-center field. Gold played second base in this game and looked good defensively. He can play the corners, and many see him being drafted as a first baseman. Given his size and frame, he is most likely destined to move to the corner infield, specifically first base, due to his below-average arm. Either way, the bat massively plays. Teams will happily take a shot on him early on despite any defensive concerns given how good he is at the plate. (Jared Perkins)
Mason Pelio, RHP, Boston College
Pelio’s fastball is his calling card. He was able to sit in the mid-90s with it through the first two innings. He fell to 93 mph in the 3rd when he got pulled. Velocity isn’t Pelio’s issue, but command and control are. He often left the ball over the middle of the plate, which led to him getting touched up for five runs (three earned) in two innings. He was flashing a change-up in the mid-80s that looked pretty decent and a fringy curveball at best that sat around 75-78 mph. The curveball lacks bite, and he hangs it quite a bit. He also struggled to find the plate, with most pitches working deep into counts while walking two. The velocity will likely have teams interested in taking a shot on him to see if they can help him develop his command and offspeed pitches. (Jared Perkins)
Brandon Neeck, LHP, University of Virginia
I was pretty impressed with Neeck in the first four innings of this game. According to the stadium gun, his fastball was sitting in the upper-80s to low-90s, topping out at 91 mph. He showed a couple of secondaries, relying heavily on a slider that sweeps across the zone, which he used to his advantage against lefties. He also threw what seemed to be a change-up but didn’t use it very frequently. He shows a good command of all of his pitches and stays consistently in the strike zone. He cruised through the first four innings, but Boston College got to him for four earned runs in the fifth. He ended the day with 4.2 innings pitched while striking out three. To take that next step in his development, he will either need to develop his third pitch or find a way to get to a point he is throwing consistently in the mid-90s as he has touched 95 mph in the past. Teams will most likely be interested in Neeck come draft day due to the potential he might be able to bring to the table. (Jared Perkins)
Chris Newell, OF, University of Virginia
Newell is an absolute blast to watch defensively. He made multiple nice grabs in the centerfield with the beautiful ability to get good reads and jumps on balls of the bat. He flashed this ability and his speed to track down a massive warning track shot early in the game. Along with his great defensive ability, he has been red hot at the plate for the Cavaliers in 2022. He was quiet in this game, recording just an RBI single in the second inning. Strikeouts seem to be the main thing that hinders Newell, but it is hard to ignore the power and speed that he brings to the table. He is quick out of the box and shows good awareness on the base paths. He also stole a bag in the second for his ninth of the year. He was basically picked off on this plate but used his plus speed to get into second safely, and it also led to Alex Tappen scoring from third. Teams will take a shot on Newell in the draft this year because of his ability to take charge in the outfield and potential at the plate and on the base paths , but his draft stock might take somewhat of a hit due to his aggressive approach. (Jared Perkins)
MLB Draft: GASSED UP - Week 5
Week 5. Conference play. It’s go time, baby. Conference play welcomes in the loudest, most challenging time of the year for big-conference college performers. We’re done with guys beating up on lesser competition. It’s time for the cream to rise to the top. These guys made quite the first impression.
